Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin project a daytime high near 91°F on May 17, aligning with GFS and ECMWF model ensembles that depict a persistent high-pressure ridge over the southern Plains fostering subsidence, clear skies, and efficient radiational heating. Recent observations show temperatures trending above the May climatological average of 86°F, with May 14 highs reaching 87°F amid dry conditions following early-month rains that have left soil moisture below normal, reducing evaporative cooling. Over the past 24 hours, updated 00z model runs have strengthened this warmer signal, driving trader consensus to 79% implied probability for 88°F or higher while pricing cooler outcomes low due to minimal shower threats. NWS Austin/San Antonio's next discussion and 12z ensembles on May 16 could refine this outlook.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Austin le 17 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Austin le 17 mai ?
88°F or higher 79%
86-87°F 16%
84-85°F 6.6%
82-83°F 4.1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 mai 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
16%
88°F or higher
79%
88°F or higher 79%
86-87°F 16%
84-85°F 6.6%
82-83°F 4.1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 mai 2026
69°F or below
$506 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$3,196 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$4,549 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$445 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$450 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$385 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$90 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$62 Vol.
4%
84-85°F
$35 Vol.
7%
86-87°F
$38 Vol.
16%
88°F or higher
$80 Vol.
79%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin project a daytime high near 91°F on May 17, aligning with GFS and ECMWF model ensembles that depict a persistent high-pressure ridge over the southern Plains fostering subsidence, clear skies, and efficient radiational heating. Recent observations show temperatures trending above the May climatological average of 86°F, with May 14 highs reaching 87°F amid dry conditions following early-month rains that have left soil moisture below normal, reducing evaporative cooling. Over the past 24 hours, updated 00z model runs have strengthened this warmer signal, driving trader consensus to 79% implied probability for 88°F or higher while pricing cooler outcomes low due to minimal shower threats. NWS Austin/San Antonio's next discussion and 12z ensembles on May 16 could refine this outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$9,836Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin project a daytime high near 91°F on May 17, aligning with GFS and ECMWF model ensembles that depict a persistent high-pressure ridge over the southern Plains fostering subsidence, clear skies, and efficient radiational heating. Recent observations show temperatures trending above the May climatological average of 86°F, with May 14 highs reaching 87°F amid dry conditions following early-month rains that have left soil moisture below normal, reducing evaporative cooling. Over the past 24 hours, updated 00z model runs have strengthened this warmer signal, driving trader consensus to 79% implied probability for 88°F or higher while pricing cooler outcomes low due to minimal shower threats. NWS Austin/San Antonio's next discussion and 12z ensembles on May 16 could refine this outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,836Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSLatest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin project a daytime high near 91°F on May 17, aligning with GFS and ECMWF model ensembles that depict a persistent high-pressure ridge over the southern Plains fostering subsidence, clear skies, and efficient radiational heating. Recent observations show temperatures trending above the May climatological average of 86°F, with May 14 highs reaching 87°F amid dry conditions following early-month rains that have left soil moisture below normal, reducing evaporative cooling. Over the past 24 hours, updated 00z model runs have strengthened this warmer signal, driving trader consensus to 79% implied probability for 88°F or higher while pricing cooler outcomes low due to minimal shower threats. NWS Austin/San Antonio's next discussion and 12z ensembles on May 16 could refine this outlook.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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