Trader sentiment has coalesced around a 30°C high for Taipei today because the latest Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble model runs project daytime maxima near that threshold under a building subtropical ridge. Weakening frontal moisture from the early Meiyu onset has allowed increased solar insolation, lifting temperatures above the 26–28°C readings observed earlier this week while southerly flow advects warmer maritime air. Historical mid-May climatology for Songshan Airport supports peaks around 28–29°C, yet recent model consensus has edged the forecast upward without reaching the conditions needed for 31°C or higher. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum, with any late-day convective development representing the chief remaining uncertainty before final data are recorded.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Taipei on May 16?
30°C 82%
31°C ou plus 15%
29°C <1%
$46,077 Vol.
$46,077 Vol.
29°C
<1%
30°C
82%
31°C ou plus
15%
30°C 82%
31°C ou plus 15%
29°C <1%
$46,077 Vol.
$46,077 Vol.
29°C
<1%
30°C
82%
31°C ou plus
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment has coalesced around a 30°C high for Taipei today because the latest Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble model runs project daytime maxima near that threshold under a building subtropical ridge. Weakening frontal moisture from the early Meiyu onset has allowed increased solar insolation, lifting temperatures above the 26–28°C readings observed earlier this week while southerly flow advects warmer maritime air. Historical mid-May climatology for Songshan Airport supports peaks around 28–29°C, yet recent model consensus has edged the forecast upward without reaching the conditions needed for 31°C or higher. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum, with any late-day convective development representing the chief remaining uncertainty before final data are recorded.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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