Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 30°C at 36% implied probability for May 16 in Singapore, reflecting persistent afternoon thundery showers under inter-monsoon conditions that cap daily maximums despite the Meteorological Service Singapore's (MSS) 4-day forecast of 34°C. Recent observations show variability, with 34.7°C at Pulau Ubin on May 14 but only around 30-31°C projected for May 15 amid heavy cloud cover and 84 mm rainfall at some sites. Frequent convection and above-average rainfall in early May 2026, per MSS fortnightly outlook, suppress solar heating, aligning odds toward 29-31°C over hotter outcomes; updated MSS forecasts twice daily could shift sentiment ahead of resolution based on official station records.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Singapore on May 16?
Highest temperature in Singapore on May 16?
30°C 36%
29°C 24.4%
31°C 21%
32°C or higher 14%
$32,517 Vol.
$32,517 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
24%
30°C
36%
31°C
21%
32°C or higher
14%
30°C 36%
29°C 24.4%
31°C 21%
32°C or higher 14%
$32,517 Vol.
$32,517 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
24%
30°C
36%
31°C
21%
32°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 30°C at 36% implied probability for May 16 in Singapore, reflecting persistent afternoon thundery showers under inter-monsoon conditions that cap daily maximums despite the Meteorological Service Singapore's (MSS) 4-day forecast of 34°C. Recent observations show variability, with 34.7°C at Pulau Ubin on May 14 but only around 30-31°C projected for May 15 amid heavy cloud cover and 84 mm rainfall at some sites. Frequent convection and above-average rainfall in early May 2026, per MSS fortnightly outlook, suppress solar heating, aligning odds toward 29-31°C over hotter outcomes; updated MSS forecasts twice daily could shift sentiment ahead of resolution based on official station records.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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