NEA's latest fortnightly outlook for early May 2026 forecasts daily maximum temperatures of 33–35°C across Singapore under inter-monsoon conditions, with light variable winds and thundery showers over parts of the island most afternoons, driving trader consensus toward a 34.5% implied probability for 33°C or higher on May 17. This lead reflects recent warm trends, including April peaks of 35.5°C at stations like Paya Lebar, tempered by above-average rainfall risks from potential Sumatra squalls or extending showers that could suppress peaks via cloud cover and cooling. Key variables include afternoon shower timing—early onset favors 30–32°C outcomes (collectively ~65%)—sea breeze influence, and urban heat buildup; updated NEA 24-hour guidance expected daily may shift odds as the date nears resolution based on official station measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Singapour le 17 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Singapour le 17 mai ?
32°C 35%
33°C or higher 35%
31°C 23%
30°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 mai 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
10%
31°C
23%
32°C
35%
33°C or higher
35%
32°C 35%
33°C or higher 35%
31°C 23%
30°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 mai 2026
23°C or below
$404 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$400 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$686 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$395 Vol.
1%
27°C
$95 Vol.
1%
28°C
$100 Vol.
1%
29°C
$72 Vol.
2%
30°C
$56 Vol.
10%
31°C
$38 Vol.
23%
32°C
$128 Vol.
35%
33°C or higher
$72 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.NEA's latest fortnightly outlook for early May 2026 forecasts daily maximum temperatures of 33–35°C across Singapore under inter-monsoon conditions, with light variable winds and thundery showers over parts of the island most afternoons, driving trader consensus toward a 34.5% implied probability for 33°C or higher on May 17. This lead reflects recent warm trends, including April peaks of 35.5°C at stations like Paya Lebar, tempered by above-average rainfall risks from potential Sumatra squalls or extending showers that could suppress peaks via cloud cover and cooling. Key variables include afternoon shower timing—early onset favors 30–32°C outcomes (collectively ~65%)—sea breeze influence, and urban heat buildup; updated NEA 24-hour guidance expected daily may shift odds as the date nears resolution based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$2,430Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.NEA's latest fortnightly outlook for early May 2026 forecasts daily maximum temperatures of 33–35°C across Singapore under inter-monsoon conditions, with light variable winds and thundery showers over parts of the island most afternoons, driving trader consensus toward a 34.5% implied probability for 33°C or higher on May 17. This lead reflects recent warm trends, including April peaks of 35.5°C at stations like Paya Lebar, tempered by above-average rainfall risks from potential Sumatra squalls or extending showers that could suppress peaks via cloud cover and cooling. Key variables include afternoon shower timing—early onset favors 30–32°C outcomes (collectively ~65%)—sea breeze influence, and urban heat buildup; updated NEA 24-hour guidance expected daily may shift odds as the date nears resolution based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,430Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSNEA's latest fortnightly outlook for early May 2026 forecasts daily maximum temperatures of 33–35°C across Singapore under inter-monsoon conditions, with light variable winds and thundery showers over parts of the island most afternoons, driving trader consensus toward a 34.5% implied probability for 33°C or higher on May 17. This lead reflects recent warm trends, including April peaks of 35.5°C at stations like Paya Lebar, tempered by above-average rainfall risks from potential Sumatra squalls or extending showers that could suppress peaks via cloud cover and cooling. Key variables include afternoon shower timing—early onset favors 30–32°C outcomes (collectively ~65%)—sea breeze influence, and urban heat buildup; updated NEA 24-hour guidance expected daily may shift odds as the date nears resolution based on official station measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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