Recent meteorological forecasts from the India Meteorological Department indicate maximum temperatures in Lucknow on May 17 will likely remain at or below 41°C, driven by stable high-pressure systems and moderate pre-monsoon wind patterns that limit daytime heating. Ensemble model runs show low variability and minimal risk of intensification above 42°C, consistent with regional climatological baselines around 40°C for mid-May. These factors underpin the dominant market-implied odds near 83% for the lower threshold, with only modest probabilities assigned to higher readings. Updated model outputs expected in the next 48 hours could further refine the outlook.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 17 mai ?
41°C or below 80%
42°C 13%
43°C 2.6%
44°C 2.1%
41°C or below
80%
42°C
13%
43°C
3%
44°C
2%
45°C
1%
46°C
1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 80%
42°C 13%
43°C 2.6%
44°C 2.1%
41°C or below
80%
42°C
13%
43°C
3%
44°C
2%
45°C
1%
46°C
1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKRecent meteorological forecasts from the India Meteorological Department indicate maximum temperatures in Lucknow on May 17 will likely remain at or below 41°C, driven by stable high-pressure systems and moderate pre-monsoon wind patterns that limit daytime heating. Ensemble model runs show low variability and minimal risk of intensification above 42°C, consistent with regional climatological baselines around 40°C for mid-May. These factors underpin the dominant market-implied odds near 83% for the lower threshold, with only modest probabilities assigned to higher readings. Updated model outputs expected in the next 48 hours could further refine the outlook.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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