Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors mild highs of 20°C or below (39.5%) and 21°C (28.5%) for São Paulo on May 15, driven by the latest forecasts from Climatempo and AccuWeather projecting peaks around 20-21°C amid an incoming cold front. This polar air mass, typical for autumn in southeastern Brazil, combines with an extratropical system to bring cloudy skies, afternoon showers (80-85% probability), and suppressed daytime heating, as cloud cover limits solar insolation. Recent INMET updates note ongoing cool anomalies this May, with prior fronts dropping minima to record lows near 9°C earlier in the week. Model consensus holds despite minor uncertainties in front timing, with official station data (e.g., Congonhas Airport) set to resolve the market tomorrow. Historical May averages hover near 23°C, but frequent fronts create volatility.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 15 mai ?
Température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 15 mai ?
20°C ou moins 41%
21°C 28%
22°C 16%
23°C 6%
NOUVEAU
$15,340 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$15,340 Vol.
15 mai 2026
20°C ou moins
41%
21°C
28%
22°C
16%
23°C
6%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou plus
<1%
20°C ou moins 41%
21°C 28%
22°C 16%
23°C 6%
NOUVEAU
$15,340 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$15,340 Vol.
15 mai 2026
20°C ou moins
$2,610 Vol.
41%
21°C
$1,344 Vol.
28%
22°C
$2,387 Vol.
16%
23°C
$991 Vol.
6%
24°C
$940 Vol.
3%
25°C
$1,913 Vol.
2%
26°C
$709 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,104 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,413 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$621 Vol.
<1%
30°C ou plus
$1,337 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors mild highs of 20°C or below (39.5%) and 21°C (28.5%) for São Paulo on May 15, driven by the latest forecasts from Climatempo and AccuWeather projecting peaks around 20-21°C amid an incoming cold front. This polar air mass, typical for autumn in southeastern Brazil, combines with an extratropical system to bring cloudy skies, afternoon showers (80-85% probability), and suppressed daytime heating, as cloud cover limits solar insolation. Recent INMET updates note ongoing cool anomalies this May, with prior fronts dropping minima to record lows near 9°C earlier in the week. Model consensus holds despite minor uncertainties in front timing, with official station data (e.g., Congonhas Airport) set to resolve the market tomorrow. Historical May averages hover near 23°C, but frequent fronts create volatility.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$15,340Date de fin
15 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors mild highs of 20°C or below (39.5%) and 21°C (28.5%) for São Paulo on May 15, driven by the latest forecasts from Climatempo and AccuWeather projecting peaks around 20-21°C amid an incoming cold front. This polar air mass, typical for autumn in southeastern Brazil, combines with an extratropical system to bring cloudy skies, afternoon showers (80-85% probability), and suppressed daytime heating, as cloud cover limits solar insolation. Recent INMET updates note ongoing cool anomalies this May, with prior fronts dropping minima to record lows near 9°C earlier in the week. Model consensus holds despite minor uncertainties in front timing, with official station data (e.g., Congonhas Airport) set to resolve the market tomorrow. Historical May averages hover near 23°C, but frequent fronts create volatility.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$15,340Date de fin
15 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors mild highs of 20°C or below (39.5%) and 21°C (28.5%) for São Paulo on May 15, driven by the latest forecasts from Climatempo and AccuWeather projecting peaks around 20-21°C amid an incoming cold front. This polar air mass, typical for autumn in southeastern Brazil, combines with an extratropical system to bring cloudy skies, afternoon showers (80-85% probability), and suppressed daytime heating, as cloud cover limits solar insolation. Recent INMET updates note ongoing cool anomalies this May, with prior fronts dropping minima to record lows near 9°C earlier in the week. Model consensus holds despite minor uncertainties in front timing, with official station data (e.g., Congonhas Airport) set to resolve the market tomorrow. Historical May averages hover near 23°C, but frequent fronts create volatility.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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