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Highest temperature in Wellington on May 14?

icon for Highest temperature in Wellington on May 14?

Highest temperature in Wellington on May 14?

15°C 100.0%

8°C or below <1%

9°C <1%

10°C <1%

Polymarket

$59,292 Vol.

15°C 100.0%

8°C or below <1%

9°C <1%

10°C <1%

Polymarket

$59,292 Vol.

8°C or below

$1,150 Vol.

No

9°C

$800 Vol.

No

10°C

$1,366 Vol.

No

11°C

$810 Vol.

No

12°C

$1,797 Vol.

No

13°C

$7,266 Vol.

No

14°C

$17,754 Vol.

No

15°C

$11,158 Vol.

Yes

16°C

$6,541 Vol.

No

17°C

$5,004 Vol.

No

18°C or higher

$5,647 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official MetService observations confirm Wellington's highest temperature reached 15°C earlier today, driving the market-implied 100% probability on this outcome as southerly winds usher in cooler evening conditions.** Current readings at Wellington International Airport show temperatures dropping to around 12°C with scattered clouds and moderate gusts, aligning with forecast model consensus from MetService predicting a mid-May high near historical averages of 15–16°C for the region. With sunset approaching at approximately 5:15 PM NZST and no significant warming potential remaining, trader sentiment reflects strong confidence in this resolution based on verified hourly data. A realistic challenge would require an anomalous late-afternoon heat spike or post-day data revision by NIWA climatologists, both low-probability given persistent cool air mass and diurnal cooling patterns. Final daily summary expected from MetService within 24 hours.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$59,292
Date de fin
14 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official MetService observations confirm Wellington's highest temperature reached 15°C earlier today, driving the market-implied 100% probability on this outcome as southerly winds usher in cooler evening conditions.** Current readings at Wellington International Airport show temperatures dropping to around 12°C with scattered clouds and moderate gusts, aligning with forecast model consensus from MetService predicting a mid-May high near historical averages of 15–16°C for the region. With sunset approaching at approximately 5:15 PM NZST and no significant warming potential remaining, trader sentiment reflects strong confidence in this resolution based on verified hourly data. A realistic challenge would require an anomalous late-afternoon heat spike or post-day data revision by NIWA climatologists, both low-probability given persistent cool air mass and diurnal cooling patterns. Final daily summary expected from MetService within 24 hours.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$59,292
Date de fin
14 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in Wellington on May 14? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 15°C » à 100%, suivi de « 8°C or below » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Highest temperature in Wellington on May 14? » a généré $59.3K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le May 12, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in Wellington on May 14? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in Wellington on May 14? » est « 15°C » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 8°C or below » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in Wellington on May 14? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.