Latest ARPA Lombardia and Servizio Meteorologico dell'Aeronautica Militare forecasts, aligned with ECMWF ensembles, project Milan's highest temperature on May 16 at 20-22°C amid a lingering Atlantic perturbation bringing morning showers and partial cloud cover, driving closely matched trader sentiment with 21°C leading at 33.5% implied probability. Differentiating factors include uncertainty in afternoon clearing speed and low-level cloud persistence, which could cap peaks at 20°C under prolonged overcast skies or allow 22°C with enhanced solar heating and light westerly winds promoting boundary layer mixing. Recent model runs reflect yesterday's cooler, showery conditions transitioning to variable skies, while climatological May averages near 23°C provide upside potential. Updated evening observations from Milano Linate will refine trajectories before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Milan on May 16?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 16?
21°C 42%
20°C 28%
22°C 21%
19°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 mai 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
28%
21°C
42%
22°C
21%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 42%
20°C 28%
22°C 21%
19°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 mai 2026
15°C or below
$787 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$445 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$812 Vol.
1%
18°C
$935 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,124 Vol.
5%
20°C
$1,221 Vol.
28%
21°C
$880 Vol.
42%
22°C
$809 Vol.
21%
23°C
$942 Vol.
3%
24°C
$603 Vol.
1%
25°C or higher
$479 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ARPA Lombardia and Servizio Meteorologico dell'Aeronautica Militare forecasts, aligned with ECMWF ensembles, project Milan's highest temperature on May 16 at 20-22°C amid a lingering Atlantic perturbation bringing morning showers and partial cloud cover, driving closely matched trader sentiment with 21°C leading at 33.5% implied probability. Differentiating factors include uncertainty in afternoon clearing speed and low-level cloud persistence, which could cap peaks at 20°C under prolonged overcast skies or allow 22°C with enhanced solar heating and light westerly winds promoting boundary layer mixing. Recent model runs reflect yesterday's cooler, showery conditions transitioning to variable skies, while climatological May averages near 23°C provide upside potential. Updated evening observations from Milano Linate will refine trajectories before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
Volume
$9,037Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:39 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ARPA Lombardia and Servizio Meteorologico dell'Aeronautica Militare forecasts, aligned with ECMWF ensembles, project Milan's highest temperature on May 16 at 20-22°C amid a lingering Atlantic perturbation bringing morning showers and partial cloud cover, driving closely matched trader sentiment with 21°C leading at 33.5% implied probability. Differentiating factors include uncertainty in afternoon clearing speed and low-level cloud persistence, which could cap peaks at 20°C under prolonged overcast skies or allow 22°C with enhanced solar heating and light westerly winds promoting boundary layer mixing. Recent model runs reflect yesterday's cooler, showery conditions transitioning to variable skies, while climatological May averages near 23°C provide upside potential. Updated evening observations from Milano Linate will refine trajectories before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,037Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:39 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ARPA Lombardia and Servizio Meteorologico dell'Aeronautica Militare forecasts, aligned with ECMWF ensembles, project Milan's highest temperature on May 16 at 20-22°C amid a lingering Atlantic perturbation bringing morning showers and partial cloud cover, driving closely matched trader sentiment with 21°C leading at 33.5% implied probability. Differentiating factors include uncertainty in afternoon clearing speed and low-level cloud persistence, which could cap peaks at 20°C under prolonged overcast skies or allow 22°C with enhanced solar heating and light westerly winds promoting boundary layer mixing. Recent model runs reflect yesterday's cooler, showery conditions transitioning to variable skies, while climatological May averages near 23°C provide upside potential. Updated evening observations from Milano Linate will refine trajectories before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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