National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 81°F for Denver on May 16 under partly sunny skies with a 40% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, anchoring trader consensus at 80-81°F (33.5% implied probability) ahead of 78-79°F (26%). This positioning reflects model agreement from recent GFS and HRRR runs showing robust morning boundary layer heating amid weak southeast winds and an upper-level ridge, supporting above-normal temperatures (climatological May 16 average ~72°F). Differentiating factors include convective timing: early cloud development or widespread thunderstorms could cap peaks in the upper 70s via reduced insolation, while delayed initiation allows 82°F+. Uncertainty persists ahead of Saturday's 12z soundings and satellite updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Denver on May 16?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 16?
80-81°F 35%
78-79°F 26%
82-83°F 20%
76-77°F 11%
NOUVEAU
$19,990 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$19,990 Vol.
16 mai 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
35%
82-83°F
20%
84°F or higher
8%
80-81°F 35%
78-79°F 26%
82-83°F 20%
76-77°F 11%
NOUVEAU
$19,990 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$19,990 Vol.
16 mai 2026
65°F or below
$12,000 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$1,825 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$669 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$959 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,145 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$561 Vol.
4%
76-77°F
$258 Vol.
11%
78-79°F
$538 Vol.
26%
80-81°F
$430 Vol.
35%
82-83°F
$755 Vol.
20%
84°F or higher
$951 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 81°F for Denver on May 16 under partly sunny skies with a 40% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, anchoring trader consensus at 80-81°F (33.5% implied probability) ahead of 78-79°F (26%). This positioning reflects model agreement from recent GFS and HRRR runs showing robust morning boundary layer heating amid weak southeast winds and an upper-level ridge, supporting above-normal temperatures (climatological May 16 average ~72°F). Differentiating factors include convective timing: early cloud development or widespread thunderstorms could cap peaks in the upper 70s via reduced insolation, while delayed initiation allows 82°F+. Uncertainty persists ahead of Saturday's 12z soundings and satellite updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$19,990Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 81°F for Denver on May 16 under partly sunny skies with a 40% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, anchoring trader consensus at 80-81°F (33.5% implied probability) ahead of 78-79°F (26%). This positioning reflects model agreement from recent GFS and HRRR runs showing robust morning boundary layer heating amid weak southeast winds and an upper-level ridge, supporting above-normal temperatures (climatological May 16 average ~72°F). Differentiating factors include convective timing: early cloud development or widespread thunderstorms could cap peaks in the upper 70s via reduced insolation, while delayed initiation allows 82°F+. Uncertainty persists ahead of Saturday's 12z soundings and satellite updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$19,990Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 81°F for Denver on May 16 under partly sunny skies with a 40% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, anchoring trader consensus at 80-81°F (33.5% implied probability) ahead of 78-79°F (26%). This positioning reflects model agreement from recent GFS and HRRR runs showing robust morning boundary layer heating amid weak southeast winds and an upper-level ridge, supporting above-normal temperatures (climatological May 16 average ~72°F). Differentiating factors include convective timing: early cloud development or widespread thunderstorms could cap peaks in the upper 70s via reduced insolation, while delayed initiation allows 82°F+. Uncertainty persists ahead of Saturday's 12z soundings and satellite updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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