Forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a daytime high of 26–28°C for Mexico City on May 16, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and strong solar heating at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with recent observations of 26–29°C on May 14–15 and May’s long-term climatology, where average highs hover near 26°C and temperatures rarely fall below 23°C. The near-100% market-implied probability for 24°C or higher reflects this strong model consensus and stable atmospheric conditions, though an unexpected influx of moisture or atypical cloud cover could modestly suppress heating and test the lower end of the range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 16?
24°C or higher 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$30,051 Vol.
$30,051 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
Yes
24°C or higher 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$30,051 Vol.
$30,051 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a daytime high of 26–28°C for Mexico City on May 16, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and strong solar heating at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with recent observations of 26–29°C on May 14–15 and May’s long-term climatology, where average highs hover near 26°C and temperatures rarely fall below 23°C. The near-100% market-implied probability for 24°C or higher reflects this strong model consensus and stable atmospheric conditions, though an unexpected influx of moisture or atypical cloud cover could modestly suppress heating and test the lower end of the range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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