Current forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project daytime highs of 27–29°C for Mexico City on May 18 under partly cloudy conditions, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and seasonal warming at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with May climatology showing average maxima near 26°C, amplified by urban heat island effects and recent observations of 26–29°C across May 14–16. Model consensus favors minimal cooling from scattered afternoon showers, keeping the probability of reaching or exceeding 27°C elevated while uncertainty around exact peak timing or localized convection remains the key variable for traders. Updated SMN guidance and observational data from Benito Juárez International Airport will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Mexico le 18 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Mexico le 18 mai ?
27°C or higher 85%
26°C 8%
25°C 8%
24°C 1.2%
NOUVEAU
$10,342 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,342 Vol.
18 mai 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
8%
26°C
8%
27°C or higher
85%
27°C or higher 85%
26°C 8%
25°C 8%
24°C 1.2%
NOUVEAU
$10,342 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,342 Vol.
18 mai 2026
17°C or below
$1,846 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$4,560 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$528 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$425 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$272 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$483 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$542 Vol.
1%
24°C
$445 Vol.
1%
25°C
$559 Vol.
8%
26°C
$383 Vol.
8%
27°C or higher
$304 Vol.
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project daytime highs of 27–29°C for Mexico City on May 18 under partly cloudy conditions, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and seasonal warming at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with May climatology showing average maxima near 26°C, amplified by urban heat island effects and recent observations of 26–29°C across May 14–16. Model consensus favors minimal cooling from scattered afternoon showers, keeping the probability of reaching or exceeding 27°C elevated while uncertainty around exact peak timing or localized convection remains the key variable for traders. Updated SMN guidance and observational data from Benito Juárez International Airport will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$10,342Date de fin
18 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project daytime highs of 27–29°C for Mexico City on May 18 under partly cloudy conditions, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and seasonal warming at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with May climatology showing average maxima near 26°C, amplified by urban heat island effects and recent observations of 26–29°C across May 14–16. Model consensus favors minimal cooling from scattered afternoon showers, keeping the probability of reaching or exceeding 27°C elevated while uncertainty around exact peak timing or localized convection remains the key variable for traders. Updated SMN guidance and observational data from Benito Juárez International Airport will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,342Date de fin
18 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXCurrent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project daytime highs of 27–29°C for Mexico City on May 18 under partly cloudy conditions, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and seasonal warming at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with May climatology showing average maxima near 26°C, amplified by urban heat island effects and recent observations of 26–29°C across May 14–16. Model consensus favors minimal cooling from scattered afternoon showers, keeping the probability of reaching or exceeding 27°C elevated while uncertainty around exact peak timing or localized convection remains the key variable for traders. Updated SMN guidance and observational data from Benito Juárez International Airport will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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