Traders see nearly even odds between a 22°C and 23°C high in Toronto today because the latest Canadian Meteorological Centre and Environment Canada model runs differ on the precise strength of southwesterly warm-air advection and afternoon cloud cover. Current surface observations place temperatures near the seasonal mid-May average of 21°C, yet ensemble spreads show small variations in wind speed and boundary-layer mixing that can shift the daily maximum by one degree. Historical analogs indicate that stable high pressure typically produces clear conditions favoring the upper end of this narrow range, while any increase in marine-layer moisture could cap readings at 22°C. Updated guidance later today will clarify whether the city reaches the 23°C threshold before sunset.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Toronto on May 16?
Highest temperature in Toronto on May 16?
22°C 26%
23°C 23%
21°C 18%
24°C 11.0%
$40,278 Vol.
$40,278 Vol.
16 mai 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
6%
21°C
18%
22°C
26%
23°C
23%
24°C
11%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 26%
23°C 23%
21°C 18%
24°C 11.0%
$40,278 Vol.
$40,278 Vol.
16 mai 2026
16°C or below
$6,195 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,690 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$4,495 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$6,010 Vol.
1%
20°C
$4,050 Vol.
6%
21°C
$2,912 Vol.
18%
22°C
$1,887 Vol.
26%
23°C
$2,191 Vol.
23%
24°C
$2,791 Vol.
11%
25°C
$2,547 Vol.
3%
26°C or higher
$4,567 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see nearly even odds between a 22°C and 23°C high in Toronto today because the latest Canadian Meteorological Centre and Environment Canada model runs differ on the precise strength of southwesterly warm-air advection and afternoon cloud cover. Current surface observations place temperatures near the seasonal mid-May average of 21°C, yet ensemble spreads show small variations in wind speed and boundary-layer mixing that can shift the daily maximum by one degree. Historical analogs indicate that stable high pressure typically produces clear conditions favoring the upper end of this narrow range, while any increase in marine-layer moisture could cap readings at 22°C. Updated guidance later today will clarify whether the city reaches the 23°C threshold before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$40,278Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see nearly even odds between a 22°C and 23°C high in Toronto today because the latest Canadian Meteorological Centre and Environment Canada model runs differ on the precise strength of southwesterly warm-air advection and afternoon cloud cover. Current surface observations place temperatures near the seasonal mid-May average of 21°C, yet ensemble spreads show small variations in wind speed and boundary-layer mixing that can shift the daily maximum by one degree. Historical analogs indicate that stable high pressure typically produces clear conditions favoring the upper end of this narrow range, while any increase in marine-layer moisture could cap readings at 22°C. Updated guidance later today will clarify whether the city reaches the 23°C threshold before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$40,278Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see nearly even odds between a 22°C and 23°C high in Toronto today because the latest Canadian Meteorological Centre and Environment Canada model runs differ on the precise strength of southwesterly warm-air advection and afternoon cloud cover. Current surface observations place temperatures near the seasonal mid-May average of 21°C, yet ensemble spreads show small variations in wind speed and boundary-layer mixing that can shift the daily maximum by one degree. Historical analogs indicate that stable high pressure typically produces clear conditions favoring the upper end of this narrow range, while any increase in marine-layer moisture could cap readings at 22°C. Updated guidance later today will clarify whether the city reaches the 23°C threshold before sunset.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes