Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 17°C (37%) as Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport on May 15, with 18°C (30%) and 16°C (25%) close behind, reflecting Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) guidance and ECMWF/GFS model ensembles projecting daytime highs near 17°C amid cool northerly airflow and persistent morning stratus clouds following overnight showers. Morning surface observations near 11°C signal limited diurnal heating below the mid-May climatological average of 22°C, as low-level stratus restricts solar insolation. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud evolution—persistent overcast capping at 16-17°C via reduced shortwave radiation, versus partial clearing enabling 18°C—and potential scattered showers; real-time METAR reports and late-day MGM updates could shift odds before resolution via Wunderground daily maximums.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Ankara on May 15?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 15?
17°C 51%
18°C 27%
16°C 19%
19°C 4.0%
$28,283 Vol.
$28,283 Vol.
12°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
19%
17°C
51%
18°C
27%
19°C
4%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 51%
18°C 27%
16°C 19%
19°C 4.0%
$28,283 Vol.
$28,283 Vol.
12°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
19%
17°C
51%
18°C
27%
19°C
4%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 17°C (37%) as Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport on May 15, with 18°C (30%) and 16°C (25%) close behind, reflecting Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) guidance and ECMWF/GFS model ensembles projecting daytime highs near 17°C amid cool northerly airflow and persistent morning stratus clouds following overnight showers. Morning surface observations near 11°C signal limited diurnal heating below the mid-May climatological average of 22°C, as low-level stratus restricts solar insolation. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud evolution—persistent overcast capping at 16-17°C via reduced shortwave radiation, versus partial clearing enabling 18°C—and potential scattered showers; real-time METAR reports and late-day MGM updates could shift odds before resolution via Wunderground daily maximums.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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