Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 14°C in Helsinki on May 14, 2026, driven by Finnish Meteorological Institute observations at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport showing a midday peak of 14°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly winds suppressing further warming. Hourly forecasts confirm temperatures falling to 11°C by evening, aligning with model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs updated this afternoon that factor in high pressure weakening and increased precipitation chances. This fits May climatology, with average highs around 14.4°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing brief solar heating to 15°C, though low sun angle and residual clouds make this improbable; final Wunderground data will confirm resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Helsinki on May 14?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 14?
14°C 100.0%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$84,115 Vol.
$84,115 Vol.
14 mai 2026
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 100.0%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$84,115 Vol.
$84,115 Vol.
14 mai 2026
14°C
$5,820 Vol.
100%
15°C
$4,420 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$6,351 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$3,018 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,439 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$7,249 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 14°C in Helsinki on May 14, 2026, driven by Finnish Meteorological Institute observations at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport showing a midday peak of 14°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly winds suppressing further warming. Hourly forecasts confirm temperatures falling to 11°C by evening, aligning with model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs updated this afternoon that factor in high pressure weakening and increased precipitation chances. This fits May climatology, with average highs around 14.4°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing brief solar heating to 15°C, though low sun angle and residual clouds make this improbable; final Wunderground data will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 12, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volume
$84,115Date de fin
14 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 12, 2026, 12:23 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 14°C in Helsinki on May 14, 2026, driven by Finnish Meteorological Institute observations at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport showing a midday peak of 14°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly winds suppressing further warming. Hourly forecasts confirm temperatures falling to 11°C by evening, aligning with model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs updated this afternoon that factor in high pressure weakening and increased precipitation chances. This fits May climatology, with average highs around 14.4°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing brief solar heating to 15°C, though low sun angle and residual clouds make this improbable; final Wunderground data will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$84,115Date de fin
14 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 12, 2026, 12:23 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 14°C in Helsinki on May 14, 2026, driven by Finnish Meteorological Institute observations at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport showing a midday peak of 14°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly winds suppressing further warming. Hourly forecasts confirm temperatures falling to 11°C by evening, aligning with model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs updated this afternoon that factor in high pressure weakening and increased precipitation chances. This fits May climatology, with average highs around 14.4°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing brief solar heating to 15°C, though low sun angle and residual clouds make this improbable; final Wunderground data will confirm resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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