Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models show Paris under mostly cloudy skies with light winds on May 17, limiting daytime heating and capping the expected high near 18°C. This pattern follows a cool, unsettled stretch through mid-May, where daytime maxima have hovered in the mid-teens Celsius amid frequent showers. Traders’ tight clustering around 15–16°C reflects genuine uncertainty in how much afternoon solar radiation will penetrate the cloud deck and whether any brief clearing occurs. Official observations later today will determine resolution, with small shifts in cloud timing or wind direction capable of pushing the peak a degree higher or lower.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Paris le 17 mai ?
16°C 47%
15°C 40%
17°C 13%
14°C 3.8%
$59,844 Vol.
$59,844 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
40%
16°C
47%
17°C
13%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 47%
15°C 40%
17°C 13%
14°C 3.8%
$59,844 Vol.
$59,844 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
40%
16°C
47%
17°C
13%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBRecent forecasts from Météo-France and European models show Paris under mostly cloudy skies with light winds on May 17, limiting daytime heating and capping the expected high near 18°C. This pattern follows a cool, unsettled stretch through mid-May, where daytime maxima have hovered in the mid-teens Celsius amid frequent showers. Traders’ tight clustering around 15–16°C reflects genuine uncertainty in how much afternoon solar radiation will penetrate the cloud deck and whether any brief clearing occurs. Official observations later today will determine resolution, with small shifts in cloud timing or wind direction capable of pushing the peak a degree higher or lower.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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