Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models converge on a maximum temperature of 26–27°C for Shanghai on May 17, producing the tightest market-implied odds around those outcomes. Persistent high-pressure ridging and light southerly flow have maintained stable conditions without significant frontal passages or moisture surges, keeping diurnal warming modest and consistent with mid-May climatology. Official China Meteorological Administration observations through May 16 align with these projections, leaving resolution dependent on the precise urban-station reading. Any last-minute model shift or localized urban heat-island enhancement could nudge the peak by 1°C, explaining why traders assign meaningful probability to both 26°C and 27°C while discounting higher or lower thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 17 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 17 mai ?
26°C 38%
27°C 29%
25°C 16%
28°C 13%
NOUVEAU
$14,926 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$14,926 Vol.
17 mai 2026
21°C ou moins
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
16%
26°C
38%
27°C
29%
28°C
13%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C ou plus
<1%
26°C 38%
27°C 29%
25°C 16%
28°C 13%
NOUVEAU
$14,926 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$14,926 Vol.
17 mai 2026
21°C ou moins
$1,091 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,838 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,774 Vol.
1%
24°C
$2,344 Vol.
3%
25°C
$1,086 Vol.
16%
26°C
$1,197 Vol.
38%
27°C
$955 Vol.
29%
28°C
$577 Vol.
13%
29°C
$888 Vol.
4%
30°C
$464 Vol.
1%
31°C ou plus
$772 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models converge on a maximum temperature of 26–27°C for Shanghai on May 17, producing the tightest market-implied odds around those outcomes. Persistent high-pressure ridging and light southerly flow have maintained stable conditions without significant frontal passages or moisture surges, keeping diurnal warming modest and consistent with mid-May climatology. Official China Meteorological Administration observations through May 16 align with these projections, leaving resolution dependent on the precise urban-station reading. Any last-minute model shift or localized urban heat-island enhancement could nudge the peak by 1°C, explaining why traders assign meaningful probability to both 26°C and 27°C while discounting higher or lower thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$14,926Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models converge on a maximum temperature of 26–27°C for Shanghai on May 17, producing the tightest market-implied odds around those outcomes. Persistent high-pressure ridging and light southerly flow have maintained stable conditions without significant frontal passages or moisture surges, keeping diurnal warming modest and consistent with mid-May climatology. Official China Meteorological Administration observations through May 16 align with these projections, leaving resolution dependent on the precise urban-station reading. Any last-minute model shift or localized urban heat-island enhancement could nudge the peak by 1°C, explaining why traders assign meaningful probability to both 26°C and 27°C while discounting higher or lower thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$14,926Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDLatest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models converge on a maximum temperature of 26–27°C for Shanghai on May 17, producing the tightest market-implied odds around those outcomes. Persistent high-pressure ridging and light southerly flow have maintained stable conditions without significant frontal passages or moisture surges, keeping diurnal warming modest and consistent with mid-May climatology. Official China Meteorological Administration observations through May 16 align with these projections, leaving resolution dependent on the precise urban-station reading. Any last-minute model shift or localized urban heat-island enhancement could nudge the peak by 1°C, explaining why traders assign meaningful probability to both 26°C and 27°C while discounting higher or lower thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes