Recent ensemble forecasts from global models such as ECMWF and GFS, combined with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate Shanghai’s May 18 maximum will likely peak between 26–28 °C under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge that limits strong warming while permitting modest diurnal heating. Mid-level moisture and variable easterly winds are expected to modulate cloud cover, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27 °C (33 %), 26 °C (26.5 %), and 28 °C (20 %). Historical May climatology for the Yangtze River Delta shows average highs near 25 °C, so any shift in steering flow or increased insolation could push the observed peak one degree higher or lower before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 18 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 18 mai ?
27°C 33%
26°C 27%
28°C 20%
25°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 mai 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
9%
26°C
27%
27°C
33%
28°C
20%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 33%
26°C 27%
28°C 20%
25°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 mai 2026
21°C or below
$854 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$219 Vol.
1%
23°C
$636 Vol.
1%
24°C
$603 Vol.
3%
25°C
$778 Vol.
9%
26°C
$421 Vol.
27%
27°C
$158 Vol.
33%
28°C
$180 Vol.
20%
29°C
$152 Vol.
7%
30°C
$93 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$324 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models such as ECMWF and GFS, combined with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate Shanghai’s May 18 maximum will likely peak between 26–28 °C under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge that limits strong warming while permitting modest diurnal heating. Mid-level moisture and variable easterly winds are expected to modulate cloud cover, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27 °C (33 %), 26 °C (26.5 %), and 28 °C (20 %). Historical May climatology for the Yangtze River Delta shows average highs near 25 °C, so any shift in steering flow or increased insolation could push the observed peak one degree higher or lower before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$4,418Date de fin
18 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models such as ECMWF and GFS, combined with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate Shanghai’s May 18 maximum will likely peak between 26–28 °C under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge that limits strong warming while permitting modest diurnal heating. Mid-level moisture and variable easterly winds are expected to modulate cloud cover, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27 °C (33 %), 26 °C (26.5 %), and 28 °C (20 %). Historical May climatology for the Yangtze River Delta shows average highs near 25 °C, so any shift in steering flow or increased insolation could push the observed peak one degree higher or lower before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,418Date de fin
18 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDRecent ensemble forecasts from global models such as ECMWF and GFS, combined with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate Shanghai’s May 18 maximum will likely peak between 26–28 °C under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge that limits strong warming while permitting modest diurnal heating. Mid-level moisture and variable easterly winds are expected to modulate cloud cover, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27 °C (33 %), 26 °C (26.5 %), and 28 °C (20 %). Historical May climatology for the Yangtze River Delta shows average highs near 25 °C, so any shift in steering flow or increased insolation could push the observed peak one degree higher or lower before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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