National Weather Service forecasts and consensus model guidance from the GFS and ECMWF point to a Seattle high temperature in the mid-50s today, driven by strengthening onshore marine flow off Puget Sound combined with scattered showers and persistent cloud cover that limit daytime solar heating. This setup aligns with typical late-spring climatology, where cool, moist Pacific air masses suppress warming relative to the May average high near 65°F. The market-implied 43.5% probability for 54-55°F and 31% for 56-57°F reflect trader assessment of these atmospheric conditions, with lower odds assigned to warmer outcomes if unexpected clearing allows greater insolation. Official resolution will rely on Sea-Tac Airport observations, and any late-day shift in marine-layer depth or precipitation timing could refine the exact peak.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Seattle le 16 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Seattle le 16 mai ?
54-55 °F 44%
56-57°F 28%
52-53°F 27%
50-51 °F 7%
$33,451 Vol.
$33,451 Vol.
16 mai 2026
47°F ou moins
<1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51 °F
7%
52-53°F
27%
54-55 °F
44%
56-57°F
28%
58-59°F
5%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66°F ou plus
<1%
54-55 °F 44%
56-57°F 28%
52-53°F 27%
50-51 °F 7%
$33,451 Vol.
$33,451 Vol.
16 mai 2026
47°F ou moins
$9,366 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$1,116 Vol.
1%
50-51 °F
$4,024 Vol.
7%
52-53°F
$2,485 Vol.
27%
54-55 °F
$1,597 Vol.
44%
56-57°F
$2,297 Vol.
28%
58-59°F
$2,298 Vol.
5%
60-61°F
$4,828 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$2,390 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,231 Vol.
<1%
66°F ou plus
$1,820 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and consensus model guidance from the GFS and ECMWF point to a Seattle high temperature in the mid-50s today, driven by strengthening onshore marine flow off Puget Sound combined with scattered showers and persistent cloud cover that limit daytime solar heating. This setup aligns with typical late-spring climatology, where cool, moist Pacific air masses suppress warming relative to the May average high near 65°F. The market-implied 43.5% probability for 54-55°F and 31% for 56-57°F reflect trader assessment of these atmospheric conditions, with lower odds assigned to warmer outcomes if unexpected clearing allows greater insolation. Official resolution will rely on Sea-Tac Airport observations, and any late-day shift in marine-layer depth or precipitation timing could refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$33,451Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and consensus model guidance from the GFS and ECMWF point to a Seattle high temperature in the mid-50s today, driven by strengthening onshore marine flow off Puget Sound combined with scattered showers and persistent cloud cover that limit daytime solar heating. This setup aligns with typical late-spring climatology, where cool, moist Pacific air masses suppress warming relative to the May average high near 65°F. The market-implied 43.5% probability for 54-55°F and 31% for 56-57°F reflect trader assessment of these atmospheric conditions, with lower odds assigned to warmer outcomes if unexpected clearing allows greater insolation. Official resolution will rely on Sea-Tac Airport observations, and any late-day shift in marine-layer depth or precipitation timing could refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$33,451Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and consensus model guidance from the GFS and ECMWF point to a Seattle high temperature in the mid-50s today, driven by strengthening onshore marine flow off Puget Sound combined with scattered showers and persistent cloud cover that limit daytime solar heating. This setup aligns with typical late-spring climatology, where cool, moist Pacific air masses suppress warming relative to the May average high near 65°F. The market-implied 43.5% probability for 54-55°F and 31% for 56-57°F reflect trader assessment of these atmospheric conditions, with lower odds assigned to warmer outcomes if unexpected clearing allows greater insolation. Official resolution will rely on Sea-Tac Airport observations, and any late-day shift in marine-layer depth or precipitation timing could refine the exact peak.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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