Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 66-67°F (39.5%) and 68-69°F (37.0%) for Los Angeles International Airport's (KLAX) highest temperature on May 16, mirroring National Weather Service guidance showing coastal highs in the mid-to-upper 60s amid persistent onshore flow and marine layer stratocumulus deck. Cool sea surface temperatures around coastal waters fuel night-to-morning cloud cover, delaying solar insolation and capping warming below the May climatological normal of 69°F; prolonged deck persistence favors the lower bin, while earlier burn-off—tied to lighter winds or drier air aloft—tips toward 68-69°F. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF exhibit minor spread on peak boundary layer mixing, with overnight forecast updates expected to sharpen resolution criteria before observations finalize.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Los Angeles on May 16?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 16?
66-67°F 43%
68-69°F 40%
64-65°F 12%
70-71°F 6%
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
12%
66-67°F
43%
68-69°F
40%
70-71°F
6%
72°F or higher
3%
66-67°F 43%
68-69°F 40%
64-65°F 12%
70-71°F 6%
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
12%
66-67°F
43%
68-69°F
40%
70-71°F
6%
72°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 66-67°F (39.5%) and 68-69°F (37.0%) for Los Angeles International Airport's (KLAX) highest temperature on May 16, mirroring National Weather Service guidance showing coastal highs in the mid-to-upper 60s amid persistent onshore flow and marine layer stratocumulus deck. Cool sea surface temperatures around coastal waters fuel night-to-morning cloud cover, delaying solar insolation and capping warming below the May climatological normal of 69°F; prolonged deck persistence favors the lower bin, while earlier burn-off—tied to lighter winds or drier air aloft—tips toward 68-69°F. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF exhibit minor spread on peak boundary layer mixing, with overnight forecast updates expected to sharpen resolution criteria before observations finalize.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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