Recent numerical weather prediction models, including ensemble runs from major global centers, indicate Wuhan’s maximum temperature on May 17 will most likely peak between 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and a modest risk of afternoon showers that could limit further heating. This consensus aligns with the current market-implied probabilities favoring those two outcomes and reflects typical mid-May climatology in the Yangtze River basin, where daily highs average near 26–28°C. Model spread remains modest, but slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover could shift the actual high by 1–2°C, preserving the narrow distribution across the 28–30°C band until official observations finalize resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Wuhan le 17 mai ?
28°C 46%
29°C 34%
30°C 14%
31°C 5.6%
$18,348 Vol.
$18,348 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
46%
29°C
34%
30°C
14%
31°C
6%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 46%
29°C 34%
30°C 14%
31°C 5.6%
$18,348 Vol.
$18,348 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
46%
29°C
34%
30°C
14%
31°C
6%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHRecent numerical weather prediction models, including ensemble runs from major global centers, indicate Wuhan’s maximum temperature on May 17 will most likely peak between 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and a modest risk of afternoon showers that could limit further heating. This consensus aligns with the current market-implied probabilities favoring those two outcomes and reflects typical mid-May climatology in the Yangtze River basin, where daily highs average near 26–28°C. Model spread remains modest, but slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover could shift the actual high by 1–2°C, preserving the narrow distribution across the 28–30°C band until official observations finalize resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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