Current ensemble forecasts place Hong Kong’s maximum temperature on May 17 near the 25–26 °C threshold, with traders assigning nearly equal weight to each outcome. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, wind speed, and the timing of any sea-breeze convergence can shift the daily peak by 1 °C at the official observatory site. Regional pressure gradients currently favor a modest southerly flow that supplies warm, humid air, yet residual moisture from recent showers may limit insolation and cap the high. Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance for May–July calls for normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, but short-range model runs show a narrow window for either 25 °C or 26 °C depending on exact cloud evolution. Updated guidance and real-time observations tomorrow morning will determine the final reading.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 17 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 17 mai ?
25°C 42%
26°C 34%
27°C 17%
24°C 7.7%
NOUVEAU
$25,238 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$25,238 Vol.
17 mai 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
8%
25°C
42%
26°C
34%
27°C
17%
28°C
3%
29°C or higher
2%
25°C 42%
26°C 34%
27°C 17%
24°C 7.7%
NOUVEAU
$25,238 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$25,238 Vol.
17 mai 2026
19°C or below
$1,541 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$747 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$998 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$393 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,494 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5,592 Vol.
8%
25°C
$3,661 Vol.
42%
26°C
$2,227 Vol.
34%
27°C
$2,572 Vol.
17%
28°C
$2,247 Vol.
3%
29°C or higher
$2,775 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts place Hong Kong’s maximum temperature on May 17 near the 25–26 °C threshold, with traders assigning nearly equal weight to each outcome. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, wind speed, and the timing of any sea-breeze convergence can shift the daily peak by 1 °C at the official observatory site. Regional pressure gradients currently favor a modest southerly flow that supplies warm, humid air, yet residual moisture from recent showers may limit insolation and cap the high. Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance for May–July calls for normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, but short-range model runs show a narrow window for either 25 °C or 26 °C depending on exact cloud evolution. Updated guidance and real-time observations tomorrow morning will determine the final reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$25,238Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts place Hong Kong’s maximum temperature on May 17 near the 25–26 °C threshold, with traders assigning nearly equal weight to each outcome. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, wind speed, and the timing of any sea-breeze convergence can shift the daily peak by 1 °C at the official observatory site. Regional pressure gradients currently favor a modest southerly flow that supplies warm, humid air, yet residual moisture from recent showers may limit insolation and cap the high. Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance for May–July calls for normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, but short-range model runs show a narrow window for either 25 °C or 26 °C depending on exact cloud evolution. Updated guidance and real-time observations tomorrow morning will determine the final reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$25,238Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts place Hong Kong’s maximum temperature on May 17 near the 25–26 °C threshold, with traders assigning nearly equal weight to each outcome. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, wind speed, and the timing of any sea-breeze convergence can shift the daily peak by 1 °C at the official observatory site. Regional pressure gradients currently favor a modest southerly flow that supplies warm, humid air, yet residual moisture from recent showers may limit insolation and cap the high. Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance for May–July calls for normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, but short-range model runs show a narrow window for either 25 °C or 26 °C depending on exact cloud evolution. Updated guidance and real-time observations tomorrow morning will determine the final reading.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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