Recent forecasts from global models place Istanbul’s maximum temperature on May 19 near the 21–22 °C range, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes and the city’s mid-May climatological average of 20–22 °C recorded at official stations. A ridge over the Balkans combined with light southerly flow favors modest warming, while persistent sea breezes off the Marmara and Black Sea often cap afternoon peaks by 1–2 °C. Model spreads remain narrow, with most runs showing little deviation from seasonal norms and minimal risk of stronger cold-air advection or anomalous heat. Updated ECMWF and Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of the daily high recorded at Istanbul Airport.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 19 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 19 mai ?
21°C 31%
22°C 24%
20°C 13%
19°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 mai 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
9%
20°C
13%
21°C
31%
22°C
29%
23°C
9%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
21°C 31%
22°C 24%
20°C 13%
19°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 mai 2026
16°C or below
$55 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$226 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$82 Vol.
3%
19°C
$108 Vol.
9%
20°C
$16 Vol.
13%
21°C
$17 Vol.
31%
22°C
$18 Vol.
29%
23°C
$170 Vol.
9%
24°C
$379 Vol.
5%
25°C
$52 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$149 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from global models place Istanbul’s maximum temperature on May 19 near the 21–22 °C range, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes and the city’s mid-May climatological average of 20–22 °C recorded at official stations. A ridge over the Balkans combined with light southerly flow favors modest warming, while persistent sea breezes off the Marmara and Black Sea often cap afternoon peaks by 1–2 °C. Model spreads remain narrow, with most runs showing little deviation from seasonal norms and minimal risk of stronger cold-air advection or anomalous heat. Updated ECMWF and Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of the daily high recorded at Istanbul Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$1,273Date de fin
19 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from global models place Istanbul’s maximum temperature on May 19 near the 21–22 °C range, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes and the city’s mid-May climatological average of 20–22 °C recorded at official stations. A ridge over the Balkans combined with light southerly flow favors modest warming, while persistent sea breezes off the Marmara and Black Sea often cap afternoon peaks by 1–2 °C. Model spreads remain narrow, with most runs showing little deviation from seasonal norms and minimal risk of stronger cold-air advection or anomalous heat. Updated ECMWF and Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of the daily high recorded at Istanbul Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,273Date de fin
19 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent forecasts from global models place Istanbul’s maximum temperature on May 19 near the 21–22 °C range, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes and the city’s mid-May climatological average of 20–22 °C recorded at official stations. A ridge over the Balkans combined with light southerly flow favors modest warming, while persistent sea breezes off the Marmara and Black Sea often cap afternoon peaks by 1–2 °C. Model spreads remain narrow, with most runs showing little deviation from seasonal norms and minimal risk of stronger cold-air advection or anomalous heat. Updated ECMWF and Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of the daily high recorded at Istanbul Airport.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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