Forecast models from the National Weather Service and global ensembles show Miami's overnight minimum on May 21 hovering near the long-term May average of 76°F, yet spread across 74–80°F due to uncertain steering flow and potential weak frontal passages. This variability explains the tightly contested market-implied odds, with substantial probability mass on both sub-73°F outcomes and much warmer readings above 92°F that would require unusually strong warm advection or suppressed radiational cooling. Sea-surface temperatures near 80°F and typical subtropical moisture levels set a narrow historical envelope for daily minima, while upcoming 48-hour GFS and ECMWF updates will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Miami le 21 mai ?
La température la plus basse à Miami le 21 mai ?
73°F ou moins 43%
92°F ou plus 41%
78-79°F 20%
76-77°F 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 mai 2026
73°F ou moins
43%
74-75 °F
16%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
17%
82-83 °F
18%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
13%
90-91°F
11%
92°F ou plus
41%
73°F ou moins 43%
92°F ou plus 41%
78-79°F 20%
76-77°F 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 mai 2026
73°F ou moins
$0 Vol.
43%
74-75 °F
$0 Vol.
16%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
18%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
20%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
17%
82-83 °F
$0 Vol.
18%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
17%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
15%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
13%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
11%
92°F ou plus
$21 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and global ensembles show Miami's overnight minimum on May 21 hovering near the long-term May average of 76°F, yet spread across 74–80°F due to uncertain steering flow and potential weak frontal passages. This variability explains the tightly contested market-implied odds, with substantial probability mass on both sub-73°F outcomes and much warmer readings above 92°F that would require unusually strong warm advection or suppressed radiational cooling. Sea-surface temperatures near 80°F and typical subtropical moisture levels set a narrow historical envelope for daily minima, while upcoming 48-hour GFS and ECMWF updates will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$21Date de fin
21 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and global ensembles show Miami's overnight minimum on May 21 hovering near the long-term May average of 76°F, yet spread across 74–80°F due to uncertain steering flow and potential weak frontal passages. This variability explains the tightly contested market-implied odds, with substantial probability mass on both sub-73°F outcomes and much warmer readings above 92°F that would require unusually strong warm advection or suppressed radiational cooling. Sea-surface temperatures near 80°F and typical subtropical moisture levels set a narrow historical envelope for daily minima, while upcoming 48-hour GFS and ECMWF updates will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$21Date de fin
21 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAForecast models from the National Weather Service and global ensembles show Miami's overnight minimum on May 21 hovering near the long-term May average of 76°F, yet spread across 74–80°F due to uncertain steering flow and potential weak frontal passages. This variability explains the tightly contested market-implied odds, with substantial probability mass on both sub-73°F outcomes and much warmer readings above 92°F that would require unusually strong warm advection or suppressed radiational cooling. Sea-surface temperatures near 80°F and typical subtropical moisture levels set a narrow historical envelope for daily minima, while upcoming 48-hour GFS and ECMWF updates will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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