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icon for La température la plus basse à Miami le 16 mai ?

La température la plus basse à Miami le 16 mai ?

icon for La température la plus basse à Miami le 16 mai ?

La température la plus basse à Miami le 16 mai ?

mai 14

mai 15

mai 16

mai 17

mai 14

mai 15

mai 16

mai 17

76-77°F 32%

78-79 °F 28%

80-81 °F 10%

82-83 °F 9.3%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

76-77°F 32%

78-79 °F 28%

80-81 °F 10%

82-83 °F 9.3%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

73°F ou moins

$35 Vol.

3%

74-75°F

$0 Vol.

5%

76-77°F

$9 Vol.

32%

78-79 °F

$48 Vol.

31%

80-81 °F

$15 Vol.

14%

82-83 °F

$50 Vol.

10%

84-85°F

$148 Vol.

1%

86-87°F

$155 Vol.

1%

88-89°F

$472 Vol.

1%

90-91°F

$292 Vol.

<1%

92°F ou plus

$228 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models project Miami's lowest temperature on May 16 around 76-79°F, reflecting trader consensus with 32% implied probability for 76-77°F and 30% for 78-79°F. This clustering stems from persistent southerly flow and high boundary layer moisture limiting radiational cooling overnight, alongside warm sea surface temperatures near 82°F off South Florida's coast. Differentiating factors include potential evening cloud cover variations and light winds, which could enhance cooling for the lower bin or trap heat for the higher; historical May climatology averages 74°F lows, but current patterns favor warmer outcomes. Monitor 12Z model runs today and NWS updates for refinements ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,454
Date de fin
16 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models project Miami's lowest temperature on May 16 around 76-79°F, reflecting trader consensus with 32% implied probability for 76-77°F and 30% for 78-79°F. This clustering stems from persistent southerly flow and high boundary layer moisture limiting radiational cooling overnight, alongside warm sea surface temperatures near 82°F off South Florida's coast. Differentiating factors include potential evening cloud cover variations and light winds, which could enhance cooling for the lower bin or trap heat for the higher; historical May climatology averages 74°F lows, but current patterns favor warmer outcomes. Monitor 12Z model runs today and NWS updates for refinements ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,454
Date de fin
16 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Questions fréquentes

« La température la plus basse à Miami le 16 mai ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 76-77°F » à 32%, suivi de « 78-79 °F » à 31%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 32¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 32% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« La température la plus basse à Miami le 16 mai ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le May 13, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « La température la plus basse à Miami le 16 mai ? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « La température la plus basse à Miami le 16 mai ? » est « 76-77°F » à 32%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 32% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 78-79 °F » à 31%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « La température la plus basse à Miami le 16 mai ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.