Skip to main content
icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Élections·Élection Française

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Élections·Élection Française

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

$21,875 Vol.

23 avr. 2027
Polymarket

$21,875 Vol.

Polymarket

Éric Zemmour

$238 Vol.

70%

Jordan Bardella

$1,558 Vol.

76%

Michel Barnier

$162 Vol.

11%

Valérie Pécresse

$156 Vol.

12%

Élisabeth Borne

$278 Vol.

17%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$385 Vol.

12%

Jean Castex

$64 Vol.

27%

Gérald Darmanin

$171 Vol.

34%

Sébastien Lecornu

$172 Vol.

34%

François Bayrou

$486 Vol.

12%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$51 Vol.

32%

Carole Delga

$154 Vol.

18%

Olivier Faure

$229 Vol.

49%

François Hollande

$132 Vol.

51%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$523 Vol.

67%

Manuel Bompard

$397 Vol.

6%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$6,393 Vol.

99%

Mathilde Panot

$8,757 Vol.

5%

Dominique de Villepin

$25 Vol.

69%

Marine Le Pen

$147 Vol.

23%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Several high-profile figures have declared candidacies for France’s April 2027 presidential election during spring 2026, fragmenting the field across the center, right, and left. Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his fourth bid in early May, Gabriel Attal launched his campaign later that month, and Les Républicains endorsed Bruno Retailleau in April after an internal vote. Édouard Philippe and others, including recent additions such as Karim Bouamrane, have also entered. Polling consistently places National Rally’s Jordan Bardella in the lead, while a crowded center-right and left risks vote splitting. Marine Le Pen’s July 2026 appeal ruling remains a key variable for the far-right lane. Traders are pricing recent verified announcements and the compressed timeline for further entries before year-end.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$21,875
Date de fin
23 avr. 2027
Marché ouvert
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Several high-profile figures have declared candidacies for France’s April 2027 presidential election during spring 2026, fragmenting the field across the center, right, and left. Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his fourth bid in early May, Gabriel Attal launched his campaign later that month, and Les Républicains endorsed Bruno Retailleau in April after an internal vote. Édouard Philippe and others, including recent additions such as Karim Bouamrane, have also entered. Polling consistently places National Rally’s Jordan Bardella in the lead, while a crowded center-right and left risks vote splitting. Marine Le Pen’s July 2026 appeal ruling remains a key variable for the far-right lane. Traders are pricing recent verified announcements and the compressed timeline for further entries before year-end.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$21,875
Date de fin
23 avr. 2027
Marché ouvert
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 21 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Gabriel Attal » à 100%, suivi de « Jean-Luc Mélenchon » à 99%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026? » a généré $21.9K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 22, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026? », parcourez les 21 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026? » est « Gabriel Attal » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Jean-Luc Mélenchon » à 99%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.