OpenAI’s September 3, 2026 launch of GPT-6 Astra, its new frontier large language model with state-of-the-art results on computer-use, coding, cybersecurity, and agentic benchmarks like ARC-AGI-3 and ExploitBench, sets the immediate context for the market. The release began with limited enterprise access via the Daybreak program and expanded within days to ChatGPT Plus, Pro, Business, Enterprise, and API users, but explicitly does not qualify as version 6.1 or higher under market rules. No official timeline or announcement for a 6.1 update, Astra Pro variant, or successor has surfaced yet, leaving trader consensus shaped by OpenAI’s recent pattern of rapid iteration after major drops like GPT-5.6 Sol. Key upcoming catalysts include further rollout details, API pricing adjustments, and any competitive pressure from models like Anthropic’s Claude Fable series that could accelerate OpenAI’s versioning cadence before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
31 oct. 2026
31 octobre
30%
31 décembre
60%
$1 Vol.
31 octobre
$0 Vol.
30%
31 décembre
$1 Vol.
60%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s September 3, 2026 launch of GPT-6 Astra, its new frontier large language model with state-of-the-art results on computer-use, coding, cybersecurity, and agentic benchmarks like ARC-AGI-3 and ExploitBench, sets the immediate context for the market. The release began with limited enterprise access via the Daybreak program and expanded within days to ChatGPT Plus, Pro, Business, Enterprise, and API users, but explicitly does not qualify as version 6.1 or higher under market rules. No official timeline or announcement for a 6.1 update, Astra Pro variant, or successor has surfaced yet, leaving trader consensus shaped by OpenAI’s recent pattern of rapid iteration after major drops like GPT-5.6 Sol. Key upcoming catalysts include further rollout details, API pricing adjustments, and any competitive pressure from models like Anthropic’s Claude Fable series that could accelerate OpenAI’s versioning cadence before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Volume
$1Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 12:44 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s September 3, 2026 launch of GPT-6 Astra, its new frontier large language model with state-of-the-art results on computer-use, coding, cybersecurity, and agentic benchmarks like ARC-AGI-3 and ExploitBench, sets the immediate context for the market. The release began with limited enterprise access via the Daybreak program and expanded within days to ChatGPT Plus, Pro, Business, Enterprise, and API users, but explicitly does not qualify as version 6.1 or higher under market rules. No official timeline or announcement for a 6.1 update, Astra Pro variant, or successor has surfaced yet, leaving trader consensus shaped by OpenAI’s recent pattern of rapid iteration after major drops like GPT-5.6 Sol. Key upcoming catalysts include further rollout details, API pricing adjustments, and any competitive pressure from models like Anthropic’s Claude Fable series that could accelerate OpenAI’s versioning cadence before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 12:44 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s September 3, 2026 launch of GPT-6 Astra, its new frontier large language model with state-of-the-art results on computer-use, coding, cybersecurity, and agentic benchmarks like ARC-AGI-3 and ExploitBench, sets the immediate context for the market. The release began with limited enterprise access via the Daybreak program and expanded within days to ChatGPT Plus, Pro, Business, Enterprise, and API users, but explicitly does not qualify as version 6.1 or higher under market rules. No official timeline or announcement for a 6.1 update, Astra Pro variant, or successor has surfaced yet, leaving trader consensus shaped by OpenAI’s recent pattern of rapid iteration after major drops like GPT-5.6 Sol. Key upcoming catalysts include further rollout details, API pricing adjustments, and any competitive pressure from models like Anthropic’s Claude Fable series that could accelerate OpenAI’s versioning cadence before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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