Strong AI training and inference demand continues to outpace available H100 supply, driving 1-year contract rental rates up nearly 40% from $1.70 per hour in October 2025 to $2.35 per hour by March 2026 according to SemiAnalysis benchmarks. On-demand spot pricing across providers like Vast.ai, RunPod, and Thunder Compute currently ranges from $1.38 to $3.50 per GPU-hour, with hyperscalers commanding premiums above $4. This imbalance stems from delayed Blackwell B200 ramp-up and sustained enterprise commitments locking in capacity through 2028. Traders monitoring the market should watch for any May capacity additions or hyperscaler repricing that could influence near-term spot rates ahead of the May 31 resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour↑ $5.00
4%
↑ $4.50
11%
↑ $4.00
15%
↑ $3.75
23%
↑ $3.50
34%
↑ $3.40
49%
↑ $3.30
71%
↑ $3.20
95%
↑ $3.10
100%
↓ $3.00
87%
↓ $2.75
44%
↓ $2.50
11%
↓ $2.00
6%
$1,823 Vol.
↑ $5.00
4%
↑ $4.50
11%
↑ $4.00
15%
↑ $3.75
23%
↑ $3.50
34%
↑ $3.40
49%
↑ $3.30
71%
↑ $3.20
95%
↑ $3.10
100%
↓ $3.00
87%
↓ $2.75
44%
↓ $2.50
11%
↓ $2.00
6%
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 7:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Strong AI training and inference demand continues to outpace available H100 supply, driving 1-year contract rental rates up nearly 40% from $1.70 per hour in October 2025 to $2.35 per hour by March 2026 according to SemiAnalysis benchmarks. On-demand spot pricing across providers like Vast.ai, RunPod, and Thunder Compute currently ranges from $1.38 to $3.50 per GPU-hour, with hyperscalers commanding premiums above $4. This imbalance stems from delayed Blackwell B200 ramp-up and sustained enterprise commitments locking in capacity through 2028. Traders monitoring the market should watch for any May capacity additions or hyperscaler repricing that could influence near-term spot rates ahead of the May 31 resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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