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icon for Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

icon for Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

89% chance
Polymarket

$78,394 Vol.

89% chance
Polymarket

$78,394 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price). The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Anthropic’s rapid ascent in private valuations, fueled by its pending $30–50 billion funding round at up to $950 billion, now underpins the 89% market-implied odds that it will exceed OpenAI’s $852 billion mark through 2026. Secondary platforms already price Anthropic shares near $1 trillion, reflecting a tripling of value since its February round at $380 billion and annualized revenue that has surged to roughly $30 billion. Traders are pricing in sustained momentum from new model releases and strategic backing by Amazon and Google, while OpenAI’s latest round has shown slower growth. Key near-term catalysts include the imminent close of Anthropic’s round and ongoing IPO preparations, both of which could widen the valuation gap before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.

Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).

The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$78,394
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price). The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price). The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Anthropic’s rapid ascent in private valuations, fueled by its pending $30–50 billion funding round at up to $950 billion, now underpins the 89% market-implied odds that it will exceed OpenAI’s $852 billion mark through 2026. Secondary platforms already price Anthropic shares near $1 trillion, reflecting a tripling of value since its February round at $380 billion and annualized revenue that has surged to roughly $30 billion. Traders are pricing in sustained momentum from new model releases and strategic backing by Amazon and Google, while OpenAI’s latest round has shown slower growth. Key near-term catalysts include the imminent close of Anthropic’s round and ongoing IPO preparations, both of which could widen the valuation gap before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.

Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).

The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$78,394
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price). The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket où les traders achètent et vendent des parts « Oui » ou « Non » selon qu'ils estiment que cet événement se produira ou non. La probabilité actuelle selon la communauté est de 89% pour « Yes ». Par exemple, si « Oui » est coté à 89¢, le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 89% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes changent en permanence à mesure que les traders réagissent aux nouveaux développements et informations. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026? » a généré $78.4K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 14, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026? », choisissez simplement si vous pensez que la réponse est « Oui » ou « Non ». Chaque côté a un prix actuel qui reflète la probabilité implicite du marché. Entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » et que le résultat se résout comme « Oui », chaque part rapporte $1. S'il se résout comme « Non », vos parts « Oui » rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts à tout moment avant la résolution pour sécuriser un gain ou limiter une perte.

La probabilité actuelle pour « Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026? » est de 89% pour « Yes ». Cela signifie que la communauté Polymarket estime actuellement qu'il y a une probabilité de 89% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel sur la base de transactions réelles, fournissant un signal continuellement actualisé de ce que le marché attend.

Les règles de résolution de « Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.