Recent developments in Harvey Weinstein’s legal saga have sharply boosted trader consensus around no additional prison time. The third New York rape retrial ended in a mistrial on May 15 after jurors deadlocked for the second consecutive attempt, leaving prosecutors weighing whether to pursue a fourth trial. That outcome, paired with Weinstein’s pending appeal of his 16-year California conviction and an unresolved New York sentencing on the Miriam Haley count, has traders pricing in significant procedural delays and his advanced age as factors that could limit further incarceration. Upcoming decisions on retrial and appeal hearings remain the next clear catalysts likely to move implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourUne peine de prison pour Harvey Weinstein ?
Une peine de prison pour Harvey Weinstein ?
Aucune peine de prison 74.4%
20-30 ans 7.8%
<5 ans 4.8%
5-10 ans 3.5%
$994,033 Vol.
$994,033 Vol.
31 déc. 2025
Aucune peine de prison
74%
<5 ans
5%
5-10 ans
4%
10-20 ans
3%
20-30 ans
8%
Plus de 30 ans
1%
Aucune peine de prison 74.4%
20-30 ans 7.8%
<5 ans 4.8%
5-10 ans 3.5%
$994,033 Vol.
$994,033 Vol.
31 déc. 2025
Aucune peine de prison
$349,397 Vol.
74%
<5 ans
$131,350 Vol.
5%
5-10 ans
$80,480 Vol.
4%
10-20 ans
$159,332 Vol.
3%
20-30 ans
$201,001 Vol.
8%
Plus de 30 ans
$72,473 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments in Harvey Weinstein’s legal saga have sharply boosted trader consensus around no additional prison time. The third New York rape retrial ended in a mistrial on May 15 after jurors deadlocked for the second consecutive attempt, leaving prosecutors weighing whether to pursue a fourth trial. That outcome, paired with Weinstein’s pending appeal of his 16-year California conviction and an unresolved New York sentencing on the Miriam Haley count, has traders pricing in significant procedural delays and his advanced age as factors that could limit further incarceration. Upcoming decisions on retrial and appeal hearings remain the next clear catalysts likely to move implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Volume
$994,033Date de fin
31 déc. 2025Marché ouvert
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments in Harvey Weinstein’s legal saga have sharply boosted trader consensus around no additional prison time. The third New York rape retrial ended in a mistrial on May 15 after jurors deadlocked for the second consecutive attempt, leaving prosecutors weighing whether to pursue a fourth trial. That outcome, paired with Weinstein’s pending appeal of his 16-year California conviction and an unresolved New York sentencing on the Miriam Haley count, has traders pricing in significant procedural delays and his advanced age as factors that could limit further incarceration. Upcoming decisions on retrial and appeal hearings remain the next clear catalysts likely to move implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$994,033Date de fin
31 déc. 2025Marché ouvert
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent developments in Harvey Weinstein’s legal saga have sharply boosted trader consensus around no additional prison time. The third New York rape retrial ended in a mistrial on May 15 after jurors deadlocked for the second consecutive attempt, leaving prosecutors weighing whether to pursue a fourth trial. That outcome, paired with Weinstein’s pending appeal of his 16-year California conviction and an unresolved New York sentencing on the Miriam Haley count, has traders pricing in significant procedural delays and his advanced age as factors that could limit further incarceration. Upcoming decisions on retrial and appeal hearings remain the next clear catalysts likely to move implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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