Recent developments in Harvey Weinstein’s New York retrial have reinforced trader consensus around minimal additional prison exposure. A jury deadlock last week produced a mistrial on the remaining rape charge, with nine jurors favoring acquittal, prompting prosecutors to weigh whether a fourth trial is viable on a lower-level felony carrying at most four years. Weinstein, already serving time from his 2022 California sexual-assault conviction, has exhausted much of any concurrent sentence while dealing with documented health issues and Rikers confinement. These factors, combined with appeals momentum and the high bar for renewed prosecution after repeated hung outcomes, have cemented the market’s strong tilt toward no further incarceration.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourUne peine de prison pour Harvey Weinstein ?
Une peine de prison pour Harvey Weinstein ?
Aucune peine de prison 82.7%
<5 ans 7.0%
10-20 ans 3.5%
20-30 ans 2.6%
$987,684 Vol.
$987,684 Vol.
31 déc. 2025
Aucune peine de prison
83%
<5 ans
7%
5-10 ans
1%
10-20 ans
3%
20-30 ans
3%
Plus de 30 ans
2%
Aucune peine de prison 82.7%
<5 ans 7.0%
10-20 ans 3.5%
20-30 ans 2.6%
$987,684 Vol.
$987,684 Vol.
31 déc. 2025
Aucune peine de prison
$347,074 Vol.
83%
<5 ans
$131,248 Vol.
7%
5-10 ans
$79,622 Vol.
1%
10-20 ans
$157,829 Vol.
3%
20-30 ans
$199,445 Vol.
3%
Plus de 30 ans
$72,465 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments in Harvey Weinstein’s New York retrial have reinforced trader consensus around minimal additional prison exposure. A jury deadlock last week produced a mistrial on the remaining rape charge, with nine jurors favoring acquittal, prompting prosecutors to weigh whether a fourth trial is viable on a lower-level felony carrying at most four years. Weinstein, already serving time from his 2022 California sexual-assault conviction, has exhausted much of any concurrent sentence while dealing with documented health issues and Rikers confinement. These factors, combined with appeals momentum and the high bar for renewed prosecution after repeated hung outcomes, have cemented the market’s strong tilt toward no further incarceration.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Volume
$987,684Date de fin
31 déc. 2025Marché ouvert
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments in Harvey Weinstein’s New York retrial have reinforced trader consensus around minimal additional prison exposure. A jury deadlock last week produced a mistrial on the remaining rape charge, with nine jurors favoring acquittal, prompting prosecutors to weigh whether a fourth trial is viable on a lower-level felony carrying at most four years. Weinstein, already serving time from his 2022 California sexual-assault conviction, has exhausted much of any concurrent sentence while dealing with documented health issues and Rikers confinement. These factors, combined with appeals momentum and the high bar for renewed prosecution after repeated hung outcomes, have cemented the market’s strong tilt toward no further incarceration.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$987,684Date de fin
31 déc. 2025Marché ouvert
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent developments in Harvey Weinstein’s New York retrial have reinforced trader consensus around minimal additional prison exposure. A jury deadlock last week produced a mistrial on the remaining rape charge, with nine jurors favoring acquittal, prompting prosecutors to weigh whether a fourth trial is viable on a lower-level felony carrying at most four years. Weinstein, already serving time from his 2022 California sexual-assault conviction, has exhausted much of any concurrent sentence while dealing with documented health issues and Rikers confinement. These factors, combined with appeals momentum and the high bar for renewed prosecution after repeated hung outcomes, have cemented the market’s strong tilt toward no further incarceration.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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