Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Dallas on August 2 near the climatological normal of 97°F, with 96-99°F brackets capturing nearly 80% of implied probability. Long-range outlooks from AccuWeather place early-August highs in the 96-105°F envelope, while the normal maximum for the date is 97°F and records reach 106°F. Recent July heat waves peaking near 105°F have raised baseline expectations, yet model guidance and historical analogs point to modest cooling from possible thunderstorms and shifting steering patterns. National Weather Service data and seasonal forecasts indicate normal-to-slightly-above-normal conditions overall, with limited upside risk beyond 100°F absent a strong ridge build-up. Updated short-range model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Dallas le 2 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Dallas le 2 août ?
96-97°F 46%
98-99°F 33%
94-95°F 9%
100-101°F 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 août 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
46%
98-99°F
33%
100-101°F
9%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 46%
98-99°F 33%
94-95°F 9%
100-101°F 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 août 2026
89°F or below
$442 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$78 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$247 Vol.
3%
94-95°F
$221 Vol.
9%
96-97°F
$417 Vol.
46%
98-99°F
$168 Vol.
33%
100-101°F
$286 Vol.
9%
102-103°F
$131 Vol.
3%
104-105°F
$81 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$79 Vol.
<1%
108°F or higher
$99 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Dallas on August 2 near the climatological normal of 97°F, with 96-99°F brackets capturing nearly 80% of implied probability. Long-range outlooks from AccuWeather place early-August highs in the 96-105°F envelope, while the normal maximum for the date is 97°F and records reach 106°F. Recent July heat waves peaking near 105°F have raised baseline expectations, yet model guidance and historical analogs point to modest cooling from possible thunderstorms and shifting steering patterns. National Weather Service data and seasonal forecasts indicate normal-to-slightly-above-normal conditions overall, with limited upside risk beyond 100°F absent a strong ridge build-up. Updated short-range model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$2,249Date de fin
2 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Dallas on August 2 near the climatological normal of 97°F, with 96-99°F brackets capturing nearly 80% of implied probability. Long-range outlooks from AccuWeather place early-August highs in the 96-105°F envelope, while the normal maximum for the date is 97°F and records reach 106°F. Recent July heat waves peaking near 105°F have raised baseline expectations, yet model guidance and historical analogs point to modest cooling from possible thunderstorms and shifting steering patterns. National Weather Service data and seasonal forecasts indicate normal-to-slightly-above-normal conditions overall, with limited upside risk beyond 100°F absent a strong ridge build-up. Updated short-range model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,249Date de fin
2 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Dallas on August 2 near the climatological normal of 97°F, with 96-99°F brackets capturing nearly 80% of implied probability. Long-range outlooks from AccuWeather place early-August highs in the 96-105°F envelope, while the normal maximum for the date is 97°F and records reach 106°F. Recent July heat waves peaking near 105°F have raised baseline expectations, yet model guidance and historical analogs point to modest cooling from possible thunderstorms and shifting steering patterns. National Weather Service data and seasonal forecasts indicate normal-to-slightly-above-normal conditions overall, with limited upside risk beyond 100°F absent a strong ridge build-up. Updated short-range model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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