Recent thundery showers driven by a broad low-pressure trough and active southerly airstream over the Pearl River Estuary have moderated Hong Kong’s daytime heating, capping expected highs near 28–29 °C on August 3. Persistent cloud cover and scattered heavy rainfall reduce incoming solar radiation while enhancing evaporative cooling, shifting the distribution away from the seasonal 32 °C August average. Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model runs continue to highlight uncertainty in shower timing and intensity, which directly influences whether the peak reaches 29 °C or remains at 28 °C. Updated short-range forecasts and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 3 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 3 août ?
28°C 35%
29°C 29%
27°C 20%
30°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 août 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
20%
28°C
35%
29°C
29%
30°C
8%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
3%
28°C 35%
29°C 29%
27°C 20%
30°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 août 2026
22°C or below
$797 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$381 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$717 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$86 Vol.
1%
26°C
$128 Vol.
5%
27°C
$371 Vol.
20%
28°C
$151 Vol.
35%
29°C
$793 Vol.
29%
30°C
$298 Vol.
8%
31°C
$525 Vol.
5%
32°C or higher
$223 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent thundery showers driven by a broad low-pressure trough and active southerly airstream over the Pearl River Estuary have moderated Hong Kong’s daytime heating, capping expected highs near 28–29 °C on August 3. Persistent cloud cover and scattered heavy rainfall reduce incoming solar radiation while enhancing evaporative cooling, shifting the distribution away from the seasonal 32 °C August average. Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model runs continue to highlight uncertainty in shower timing and intensity, which directly influences whether the peak reaches 29 °C or remains at 28 °C. Updated short-range forecasts and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$4,471Date de fin
3 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent thundery showers driven by a broad low-pressure trough and active southerly airstream over the Pearl River Estuary have moderated Hong Kong’s daytime heating, capping expected highs near 28–29 °C on August 3. Persistent cloud cover and scattered heavy rainfall reduce incoming solar radiation while enhancing evaporative cooling, shifting the distribution away from the seasonal 32 °C August average. Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model runs continue to highlight uncertainty in shower timing and intensity, which directly influences whether the peak reaches 29 °C or remains at 28 °C. Updated short-range forecasts and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,471Date de fin
3 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent thundery showers driven by a broad low-pressure trough and active southerly airstream over the Pearl River Estuary have moderated Hong Kong’s daytime heating, capping expected highs near 28–29 °C on August 3. Persistent cloud cover and scattered heavy rainfall reduce incoming solar radiation while enhancing evaporative cooling, shifting the distribution away from the seasonal 32 °C August average. Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model runs continue to highlight uncertainty in shower timing and intensity, which directly influences whether the peak reaches 29 °C or remains at 28 °C. Updated short-range forecasts and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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