Latest forecast models from major meteorological agencies converge on a peak temperature of 24–25°C for Istanbul on June 11, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow limiting daytime heating. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with surface observations and 850 hPa temperatures supporting this narrow range rather than higher or lower outcomes. Typical early-June climatology in the region features average highs near 26°C, but current steering patterns and minimal moisture advection keep the upper end capped. Resolution depends on official station readings, and any last-minute model shift from updated runs could adjust implied probabilities before markets close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 11?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 11?
24°C 36%
25°C 34%
23°C 18%
26°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 juin 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
18%
24°C
36%
25°C
34%
26°C
10%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
2%
24°C 36%
25°C 34%
23°C 18%
26°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 juin 2026
18°C or below
$250 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$206 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$66 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$154 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$155 Vol.
2%
23°C
$213 Vol.
18%
24°C
$214 Vol.
36%
25°C
$211 Vol.
34%
26°C
$141 Vol.
10%
27°C
$193 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$234 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from major meteorological agencies converge on a peak temperature of 24–25°C for Istanbul on June 11, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow limiting daytime heating. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with surface observations and 850 hPa temperatures supporting this narrow range rather than higher or lower outcomes. Typical early-June climatology in the region features average highs near 26°C, but current steering patterns and minimal moisture advection keep the upper end capped. Resolution depends on official station readings, and any last-minute model shift from updated runs could adjust implied probabilities before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 9, 2026, 1:14 AM ET
Volume
$2,035Date de fin
11 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 1:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from major meteorological agencies converge on a peak temperature of 24–25°C for Istanbul on June 11, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow limiting daytime heating. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with surface observations and 850 hPa temperatures supporting this narrow range rather than higher or lower outcomes. Typical early-June climatology in the region features average highs near 26°C, but current steering patterns and minimal moisture advection keep the upper end capped. Resolution depends on official station readings, and any last-minute model shift from updated runs could adjust implied probabilities before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,035Date de fin
11 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 1:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from major meteorological agencies converge on a peak temperature of 24–25°C for Istanbul on June 11, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow limiting daytime heating. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with surface observations and 850 hPa temperatures supporting this narrow range rather than higher or lower outcomes. Typical early-June climatology in the region features average highs near 26°C, but current steering patterns and minimal moisture advection keep the upper end capped. Resolution depends on official station readings, and any last-minute model shift from updated runs could adjust implied probabilities before markets close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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