National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport, the official Polymarket resolution station for New York City, recorded a daily maximum of 80–81°F on June 9 under partly sunny skies and light southwesterly flow. This aligns precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome and sits near the early-June climatological average high of roughly 79°F. Model consensus from NOAA and private forecasters had converged on this narrow range in the final 24–48 hours, with minimal spread across guidance. A realistic challenge would require a post-analysis revision to the official reading or a station-specific discrepancy exceeding the two-degree band, both of which are rare once preliminary data are verified.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à New York le 9 juin ?
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F ou moins <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$127,831 Vol.
$127,831 Vol.
71°F ou moins
Non
72-73°F
Non
74-75°F
Non
76-77 °F
Non
78-79°F
Non
80-81°F
Oui
82-83 °F
Non
84-85°F
Non
86-87°F
Non
88-89 °F
Non
90°F ou plus
Non
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F ou moins <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$127,831 Vol.
$127,831 Vol.
71°F ou moins
Non
72-73°F
Non
74-75°F
Non
76-77 °F
Non
78-79°F
Non
80-81°F
Oui
82-83 °F
Non
84-85°F
Non
86-87°F
Non
88-89 °F
Non
90°F ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 7, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport, the official Polymarket resolution station for New York City, recorded a daily maximum of 80–81°F on June 9 under partly sunny skies and light southwesterly flow. This aligns precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome and sits near the early-June climatological average high of roughly 79°F. Model consensus from NOAA and private forecasters had converged on this narrow range in the final 24–48 hours, with minimal spread across guidance. A realistic challenge would require a post-analysis revision to the official reading or a station-specific discrepancy exceeding the two-degree band, both of which are rare once preliminary data are verified.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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