Latest meteorological forecasts from multiple models indicate a cool frontal passage over Istanbul on September 23, 2026, with northerly winds, heavy rain, and daytime highs centered near 17°C. This pattern, driven by a shift from recent warmer conditions, aligns with the market-implied 54.5% probability for 17°C as the daily maximum, alongside notable support for 16°C or 18°C. Official guidance highlights suppressed temperatures from persistent cloud cover, precipitation, and advection of cooler maritime air, consistent with typical late-September climatology under such synoptic setups. Updated model runs through September 21 reinforce this consensus ahead of the event.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 23 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 23 septembre ?
17°C 60%
18°C 21%
16°C 14%
19°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 sept. 2026
12°C ou moins
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
14%
17°C
60%
18°C
21%
19°C
5%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C ou plus
<1%
17°C 60%
18°C 21%
16°C 14%
19°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 sept. 2026
12°C ou moins
$205 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$45 Vol.
2%
15°C
$148 Vol.
4%
16°C
$573 Vol.
14%
17°C
$252 Vol.
60%
18°C
$271 Vol.
21%
19°C
$80 Vol.
5%
20°C
$109 Vol.
2%
21°C
$217 Vol.
1%
22°C ou plus
$60 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts from multiple models indicate a cool frontal passage over Istanbul on September 23, 2026, with northerly winds, heavy rain, and daytime highs centered near 17°C. This pattern, driven by a shift from recent warmer conditions, aligns with the market-implied 54.5% probability for 17°C as the daily maximum, alongside notable support for 16°C or 18°C. Official guidance highlights suppressed temperatures from persistent cloud cover, precipitation, and advection of cooler maritime air, consistent with typical late-September climatology under such synoptic setups. Updated model runs through September 21 reinforce this consensus ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,066Date de fin
23 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts from multiple models indicate a cool frontal passage over Istanbul on September 23, 2026, with northerly winds, heavy rain, and daytime highs centered near 17°C. This pattern, driven by a shift from recent warmer conditions, aligns with the market-implied 54.5% probability for 17°C as the daily maximum, alongside notable support for 16°C or 18°C. Official guidance highlights suppressed temperatures from persistent cloud cover, precipitation, and advection of cooler maritime air, consistent with typical late-September climatology under such synoptic setups. Updated model runs through September 21 reinforce this consensus ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,066Date de fin
23 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological forecasts from multiple models indicate a cool frontal passage over Istanbul on September 23, 2026, with northerly winds, heavy rain, and daytime highs centered near 17°C. This pattern, driven by a shift from recent warmer conditions, aligns with the market-implied 54.5% probability for 17°C as the daily maximum, alongside notable support for 16°C or 18°C. Official guidance highlights suppressed temperatures from persistent cloud cover, precipitation, and advection of cooler maritime air, consistent with typical late-September climatology under such synoptic setups. Updated model runs through September 21 reinforce this consensus ahead of the event.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes