Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and European models indicate a likely peak of 29–31°C in London on June 19 under building high pressure and southerly flow advecting warmer air masses, driving the near-even split between 30°C and 31°C as leading outcomes. Uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover, timing of any weak fronts, and localized urban heat island effects at official measurement sites, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. With resolution hinging on the single highest hourly reading, traders weigh these factors against climatological June averages near 20°C and the potential for slight model divergence in the final 48-hour updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in London on June 19?
30°C 32%
31°C 31%
32°C 20%
29°C 12%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
12%
30°C
32%
31°C
31%
32°C
20%
33°C
4%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 32%
31°C 31%
32°C 20%
29°C 12%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
12%
30°C
32%
31°C
31%
32°C
20%
33°C
4%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 17, 2026, 2:50 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and European models indicate a likely peak of 29–31°C in London on June 19 under building high pressure and southerly flow advecting warmer air masses, driving the near-even split between 30°C and 31°C as leading outcomes. Uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover, timing of any weak fronts, and localized urban heat island effects at official measurement sites, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. With resolution hinging on the single highest hourly reading, traders weigh these factors against climatological June averages near 20°C and the potential for slight model divergence in the final 48-hour updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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