Current numerical weather prediction ensembles, including Met Office and ECMWF guidance, position a daytime maximum of 27–28°C as the most probable outcome for London on June 18, driven by building high pressure favoring southerly flow and reduced cloud cover. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities while reflecting typical model spread of 1–2°C from variations in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any residual showers. After a cooler early June following May's heatwave, recent model runs show temperatures rising above the 1991–2020 June average of roughly 20–22°C, with limited risk of exceeding 29°C absent stronger advection. Official updates from the Met Office over the next 24–48 hours will refine these estimates ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in London on June 18?
Highest temperature in London on June 18?
28°C 40%
27°C 26%
29°C 17%
26°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 juin 2026
22°C ou moins
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
12%
27°C
26%
28°C
40%
29°C
17%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 40%
27°C 26%
29°C 17%
26°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 juin 2026
22°C ou moins
$368 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$199 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$249 Vol.
1%
25°C
$436 Vol.
4%
26°C
$266 Vol.
12%
27°C
$406 Vol.
26%
28°C
$664 Vol.
40%
29°C
$436 Vol.
17%
30°C
$210 Vol.
4%
31°C
$380 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$419 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction ensembles, including Met Office and ECMWF guidance, position a daytime maximum of 27–28°C as the most probable outcome for London on June 18, driven by building high pressure favoring southerly flow and reduced cloud cover. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities while reflecting typical model spread of 1–2°C from variations in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any residual showers. After a cooler early June following May's heatwave, recent model runs show temperatures rising above the 1991–2020 June average of roughly 20–22°C, with limited risk of exceeding 29°C absent stronger advection. Official updates from the Met Office over the next 24–48 hours will refine these estimates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Volume
$4,025Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction ensembles, including Met Office and ECMWF guidance, position a daytime maximum of 27–28°C as the most probable outcome for London on June 18, driven by building high pressure favoring southerly flow and reduced cloud cover. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities while reflecting typical model spread of 1–2°C from variations in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any residual showers. After a cooler early June following May's heatwave, recent model runs show temperatures rising above the 1991–2020 June average of roughly 20–22°C, with limited risk of exceeding 29°C absent stronger advection. Official updates from the Met Office over the next 24–48 hours will refine these estimates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,025Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction ensembles, including Met Office and ECMWF guidance, position a daytime maximum of 27–28°C as the most probable outcome for London on June 18, driven by building high pressure favoring southerly flow and reduced cloud cover. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities while reflecting typical model spread of 1–2°C from variations in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any residual showers. After a cooler early June following May's heatwave, recent model runs show temperatures rising above the 1991–2020 June average of roughly 20–22°C, with limited risk of exceeding 29°C absent stronger advection. Official updates from the Met Office over the next 24–48 hours will refine these estimates ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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