**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 28–29°C** for Shenzhen’s June 16 maximum because short-range model guidance and climatological baselines both point to a moderated peak under persistent cloud cover and widespread showers. Southern China’s active flood season has brought repeated heavy rainfall and thick stratiform clouds to Guangdong, sharply reducing incoming solar radiation and limiting afternoon heating. High humidity (near 85–90 %) further suppresses the daily temperature range through enhanced evaporative cooling and latent-heat release. The narrow spread between the two leading outcomes reflects uncertainty in exactly how much insolation will be lost: a brief clearing could allow readings near 30 °C, while steadier rain would cap the maximum closer to 27 °C. Ensemble guidance from global and regional models shows only modest day-to-day variability, keeping probabilities balanced and preventing any single outcome from dominating.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 16?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 16?
28°C 31%
29°C 30%
30°C 15%
27°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
14%
28°C
31%
29°C
30%
30°C
15%
31°C
7%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 31%
29°C 30%
30°C 15%
27°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
23°C or below
$38 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$13 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$125 Vol.
1%
26°C
$3 Vol.
6%
27°C
$73 Vol.
14%
28°C
$65 Vol.
31%
29°C
$8 Vol.
30%
30°C
$32 Vol.
15%
31°C
$8 Vol.
7%
32°C
$19 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$110 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 28–29°C** for Shenzhen’s June 16 maximum because short-range model guidance and climatological baselines both point to a moderated peak under persistent cloud cover and widespread showers. Southern China’s active flood season has brought repeated heavy rainfall and thick stratiform clouds to Guangdong, sharply reducing incoming solar radiation and limiting afternoon heating. High humidity (near 85–90 %) further suppresses the daily temperature range through enhanced evaporative cooling and latent-heat release.
The narrow spread between the two leading outcomes reflects uncertainty in exactly how much insolation will be lost: a brief clearing could allow readings near 30 °C, while steadier rain would cap the maximum closer to 27 °C. Ensemble guidance from global and regional models shows only modest day-to-day variability, keeping probabilities balanced and preventing any single outcome from dominating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$453Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 28–29°C** for Shenzhen’s June 16 maximum because short-range model guidance and climatological baselines both point to a moderated peak under persistent cloud cover and widespread showers. Southern China’s active flood season has brought repeated heavy rainfall and thick stratiform clouds to Guangdong, sharply reducing incoming solar radiation and limiting afternoon heating. High humidity (near 85–90 %) further suppresses the daily temperature range through enhanced evaporative cooling and latent-heat release.
The narrow spread between the two leading outcomes reflects uncertainty in exactly how much insolation will be lost: a brief clearing could allow readings near 30 °C, while steadier rain would cap the maximum closer to 27 °C. Ensemble guidance from global and regional models shows only modest day-to-day variability, keeping probabilities balanced and preventing any single outcome from dominating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$453Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 28–29°C** for Shenzhen’s June 16 maximum because short-range model guidance and climatological baselines both point to a moderated peak under persistent cloud cover and widespread showers. Southern China’s active flood season has brought repeated heavy rainfall and thick stratiform clouds to Guangdong, sharply reducing incoming solar radiation and limiting afternoon heating. High humidity (near 85–90 %) further suppresses the daily temperature range through enhanced evaporative cooling and latent-heat release. The narrow spread between the two leading outcomes reflects uncertainty in exactly how much insolation will be lost: a brief clearing could allow readings near 30 °C, while steadier rain would cap the maximum closer to 27 °C. Ensemble guidance from global and regional models shows only modest day-to-day variability, keeping probabilities balanced and preventing any single outcome from dominating.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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