Recent forecasts from models and agencies indicate Madrid will experience mostly sunny, stable conditions on June 18 under a ridge of high pressure, supporting maximum temperatures near 35–36°C. This aligns with trader consensus, where 35°C and 36°C together hold over 80% implied probability. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in model guidance on peak heating timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention, which can shift the daily high by 1°C. With minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected, climatological baselines for mid-June (average highs ~28–30°C) suggest above-normal warmth but no extreme heatwave. Updated runs from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these narrow probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Madrid on June 18?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 18?
35°C 43%
36°C 38%
34°C 11%
37°C 5.2%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 juin 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
11%
35°C
43%
36°C
38%
37°C
5%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 43%
36°C 38%
34°C 11%
37°C 5.2%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 juin 2026
31°C or below
$612 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$562 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$322 Vol.
2%
34°C
$1,527 Vol.
11%
35°C
$953 Vol.
43%
36°C
$1,527 Vol.
38%
37°C
$609 Vol.
5%
38°C
$453 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$404 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$302 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$302 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and agencies indicate Madrid will experience mostly sunny, stable conditions on June 18 under a ridge of high pressure, supporting maximum temperatures near 35–36°C. This aligns with trader consensus, where 35°C and 36°C together hold over 80% implied probability. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in model guidance on peak heating timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention, which can shift the daily high by 1°C. With minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected, climatological baselines for mid-June (average highs ~28–30°C) suggest above-normal warmth but no extreme heatwave. Updated runs from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these narrow probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ET
Volume
$7,572Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and agencies indicate Madrid will experience mostly sunny, stable conditions on June 18 under a ridge of high pressure, supporting maximum temperatures near 35–36°C. This aligns with trader consensus, where 35°C and 36°C together hold over 80% implied probability. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in model guidance on peak heating timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention, which can shift the daily high by 1°C. With minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected, climatological baselines for mid-June (average highs ~28–30°C) suggest above-normal warmth but no extreme heatwave. Updated runs from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these narrow probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,572Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models and agencies indicate Madrid will experience mostly sunny, stable conditions on June 18 under a ridge of high pressure, supporting maximum temperatures near 35–36°C. This aligns with trader consensus, where 35°C and 36°C together hold over 80% implied probability. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in model guidance on peak heating timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention, which can shift the daily high by 1°C. With minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected, climatological baselines for mid-June (average highs ~28–30°C) suggest above-normal warmth but no extreme heatwave. Updated runs from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these narrow probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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