Forecast updates from major models show Munich under a high-pressure ridge with sunny skies and light easterly winds on June 18, supporting maximum temperatures near 29–31°C through strong daytime insolation and limited boundary-layer mixing. This setup favors the market’s leading outcomes at 30°C and 31°C, which together exceed 60% implied probability, as subsidence warming and minimal cloud cover allow surface heating to approach or slightly exceed seasonal norms. Ensemble spreads in thermal advection and exact ridge placement create the close contest between those bins, while lower-probability outcomes above 32°C would require stronger southerly flow not currently indicated. New model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Munich on June 18?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 18?
31°C 33%
30°C 28%
32°C 13%
33°C 4.9%
NOUVEAU
$10,011 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,011 Vol.
18 juin 2026
24°C ou moins
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
28%
31°C
33%
32°C
13%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
3%
31°C 33%
30°C 28%
32°C 13%
33°C 4.9%
NOUVEAU
$10,011 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,011 Vol.
18 juin 2026
24°C ou moins
$198 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$93 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$413 Vol.
1%
27°C
$485 Vol.
1%
28°C
$2,686 Vol.
3%
29°C
$1,754 Vol.
5%
30°C
$1,499 Vol.
28%
31°C
$544 Vol.
33%
32°C
$923 Vol.
13%
33°C
$507 Vol.
5%
34°C or higher
$1,271 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast updates from major models show Munich under a high-pressure ridge with sunny skies and light easterly winds on June 18, supporting maximum temperatures near 29–31°C through strong daytime insolation and limited boundary-layer mixing. This setup favors the market’s leading outcomes at 30°C and 31°C, which together exceed 60% implied probability, as subsidence warming and minimal cloud cover allow surface heating to approach or slightly exceed seasonal norms. Ensemble spreads in thermal advection and exact ridge placement create the close contest between those bins, while lower-probability outcomes above 32°C would require stronger southerly flow not currently indicated. New model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
Volume
$10,011Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast updates from major models show Munich under a high-pressure ridge with sunny skies and light easterly winds on June 18, supporting maximum temperatures near 29–31°C through strong daytime insolation and limited boundary-layer mixing. This setup favors the market’s leading outcomes at 30°C and 31°C, which together exceed 60% implied probability, as subsidence warming and minimal cloud cover allow surface heating to approach or slightly exceed seasonal norms. Ensemble spreads in thermal advection and exact ridge placement create the close contest between those bins, while lower-probability outcomes above 32°C would require stronger southerly flow not currently indicated. New model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,011Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast updates from major models show Munich under a high-pressure ridge with sunny skies and light easterly winds on June 18, supporting maximum temperatures near 29–31°C through strong daytime insolation and limited boundary-layer mixing. This setup favors the market’s leading outcomes at 30°C and 31°C, which together exceed 60% implied probability, as subsidence warming and minimal cloud cover allow surface heating to approach or slightly exceed seasonal norms. Ensemble spreads in thermal advection and exact ridge placement create the close contest between those bins, while lower-probability outcomes above 32°C would require stronger southerly flow not currently indicated. New model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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