Recent numerical weather model guidance from global ensembles points to a daytime maximum near 24°C in Istanbul on June 18, driven by moderate northeasterly flow and partial cloud cover that limits strong insolation. Mid-June climatology favors highs of 25–26°C under typical high-pressure ridging, yet current forecasts incorporate a fresh breeze and possible scattered showers that cap warming. The tight 23–24°C market split reflects genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing within short-range runs, with 25°C remaining viable if clearer skies prevail. Official updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and next model cycles will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 18?
24°C 35%
23°C 32%
25°C 18%
26°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 juin 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
7%
23°C
32%
24°C
35%
25°C
18%
26°C
9%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 35%
23°C 32%
25°C 18%
26°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 juin 2026
19°C or below
$125 Vol.
1%
20°C
$145 Vol.
1%
21°C
$30 Vol.
1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
7%
23°C
$61 Vol.
32%
24°C
$81 Vol.
35%
25°C
$59 Vol.
18%
26°C
$39 Vol.
9%
27°C
$167 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$70 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$235 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model guidance from global ensembles points to a daytime maximum near 24°C in Istanbul on June 18, driven by moderate northeasterly flow and partial cloud cover that limits strong insolation. Mid-June climatology favors highs of 25–26°C under typical high-pressure ridging, yet current forecasts incorporate a fresh breeze and possible scattered showers that cap warming. The tight 23–24°C market split reflects genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing within short-range runs, with 25°C remaining viable if clearer skies prevail. Official updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and next model cycles will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 16, 2026, 1:21 AM ET
Volume
$1,012Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 1:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model guidance from global ensembles points to a daytime maximum near 24°C in Istanbul on June 18, driven by moderate northeasterly flow and partial cloud cover that limits strong insolation. Mid-June climatology favors highs of 25–26°C under typical high-pressure ridging, yet current forecasts incorporate a fresh breeze and possible scattered showers that cap warming. The tight 23–24°C market split reflects genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing within short-range runs, with 25°C remaining viable if clearer skies prevail. Official updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and next model cycles will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,012Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 1:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model guidance from global ensembles points to a daytime maximum near 24°C in Istanbul on June 18, driven by moderate northeasterly flow and partial cloud cover that limits strong insolation. Mid-June climatology favors highs of 25–26°C under typical high-pressure ridging, yet current forecasts incorporate a fresh breeze and possible scattered showers that cap warming. The tight 23–24°C market split reflects genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing within short-range runs, with 25°C remaining viable if clearer skies prevail. Official updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and next model cycles will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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