Traders see the 27°C and 28°C outcomes as nearly tied because ensemble forecasts from major models show maximum temperatures in Amsterdam on June 18 clustering tightly around these values, with modest spread from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and low-level advection. A weak high-pressure ridge over western Europe favors mostly clear skies and light southerly flow that could add 1–2°C of warming, while any increase in Atlantic moisture or slight veering of winds would cap readings near 27°C. Historical June maxima in the region average near 22°C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly; updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 18?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 18?
27°C 37%
28°C 32%
26°C 22%
29°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 juin 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
22%
27°C
37%
28°C
32%
29°C
10%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 37%
28°C 32%
26°C 22%
29°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 juin 2026
21°C or below
$215 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$220 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$395 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$184 Vol.
1%
25°C
$225 Vol.
2%
26°C
$458 Vol.
22%
27°C
$259 Vol.
37%
28°C
$286 Vol.
32%
29°C
$261 Vol.
10%
30°C
$242 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$219 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 27°C and 28°C outcomes as nearly tied because ensemble forecasts from major models show maximum temperatures in Amsterdam on June 18 clustering tightly around these values, with modest spread from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and low-level advection. A weak high-pressure ridge over western Europe favors mostly clear skies and light southerly flow that could add 1–2°C of warming, while any increase in Atlantic moisture or slight veering of winds would cap readings near 27°C. Historical June maxima in the region average near 22°C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly; updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 16, 2026, 1:11 AM ET
Volume
$2,963Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 1:11 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 27°C and 28°C outcomes as nearly tied because ensemble forecasts from major models show maximum temperatures in Amsterdam on June 18 clustering tightly around these values, with modest spread from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and low-level advection. A weak high-pressure ridge over western Europe favors mostly clear skies and light southerly flow that could add 1–2°C of warming, while any increase in Atlantic moisture or slight veering of winds would cap readings near 27°C. Historical June maxima in the region average near 22°C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly; updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,963Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 1:11 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 27°C and 28°C outcomes as nearly tied because ensemble forecasts from major models show maximum temperatures in Amsterdam on June 18 clustering tightly around these values, with modest spread from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and low-level advection. A weak high-pressure ridge over western Europe favors mostly clear skies and light southerly flow that could add 1–2°C of warming, while any increase in Atlantic moisture or slight veering of winds would cap readings near 27°C. Historical June maxima in the region average near 22°C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly; updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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