Recent meteorological model consensus from agencies like ECMWF and Roshydromet points to Moscow daytime highs of 16–18°C on June 18, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate northerly flow, and limited solar heating under a weak high-pressure ridge. These conditions suppress typical June warming, keeping maximum temperatures below seasonal averages near 20–22°C. Trader sentiment clusters on 16–17°C outcomes because ensemble runs show limited variability, with only modest upside risk from any clearing skies or southerly shifts before resolution. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Moscow on June 18?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 18?
16°C 26%
17°C 26%
15°C 17%
18°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 juin 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
3%
14°C
10%
15°C
17%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
13%
19°C
6%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 26%
17°C 26%
15°C 17%
18°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 juin 2026
12°C or below
$20 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$36 Vol.
3%
14°C
$20 Vol.
10%
15°C
$12 Vol.
17%
16°C
$5 Vol.
26%
17°C
$211 Vol.
26%
18°C
$29 Vol.
13%
19°C
$71 Vol.
6%
20°C
$196 Vol.
1%
21°C
$87 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from agencies like ECMWF and Roshydromet points to Moscow daytime highs of 16–18°C on June 18, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate northerly flow, and limited solar heating under a weak high-pressure ridge. These conditions suppress typical June warming, keeping maximum temperatures below seasonal averages near 20–22°C. Trader sentiment clusters on 16–17°C outcomes because ensemble runs show limited variability, with only modest upside risk from any clearing skies or southerly shifts before resolution. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 16, 2026, 1:15 AM ET
Volume
$670Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 1:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from agencies like ECMWF and Roshydromet points to Moscow daytime highs of 16–18°C on June 18, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate northerly flow, and limited solar heating under a weak high-pressure ridge. These conditions suppress typical June warming, keeping maximum temperatures below seasonal averages near 20–22°C. Trader sentiment clusters on 16–17°C outcomes because ensemble runs show limited variability, with only modest upside risk from any clearing skies or southerly shifts before resolution. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$670Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 1:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological model consensus from agencies like ECMWF and Roshydromet points to Moscow daytime highs of 16–18°C on June 18, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate northerly flow, and limited solar heating under a weak high-pressure ridge. These conditions suppress typical June warming, keeping maximum temperatures below seasonal averages near 20–22°C. Trader sentiment clusters on 16–17°C outcomes because ensemble runs show limited variability, with only modest upside risk from any clearing skies or southerly shifts before resolution. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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