Recent model consensus for Shanghai on June 16 points to a modest daily maximum near 26–27 °C amid the ongoing Meiyu (plum-rain) season, when persistent cloud cover and scattered showers sharply reduce solar insolation and cap afternoon heating. High humidity and light southerly flow further suppress temperature rise, while any breaks in overcast skies or delayed rainfall timing could allow brief warming toward 28 °C. The near-even split between the 26 °C and 27 °C contracts reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of precipitation and boundary-layer mixing. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 16?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 16?
27°C 32%
26°C 31%
25°C 16%
28°C 11.3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
8%
25°C
16%
26°C
31%
27°C
32%
28°C
11%
29°C
4%
30°C or higher
1%
27°C 32%
26°C 31%
25°C 16%
28°C 11.3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
20°C or below
$122 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$18 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$77 Vol.
1%
23°C
$371 Vol.
1%
24°C
$157 Vol.
8%
25°C
$257 Vol.
16%
26°C
$63 Vol.
31%
27°C
$172 Vol.
32%
28°C
$302 Vol.
11%
29°C
$59 Vol.
4%
30°C or higher
$245 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus for Shanghai on June 16 points to a modest daily maximum near 26–27 °C amid the ongoing Meiyu (plum-rain) season, when persistent cloud cover and scattered showers sharply reduce solar insolation and cap afternoon heating. High humidity and light southerly flow further suppress temperature rise, while any breaks in overcast skies or delayed rainfall timing could allow brief warming toward 28 °C. The near-even split between the 26 °C and 27 °C contracts reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of precipitation and boundary-layer mixing. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,838Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus for Shanghai on June 16 points to a modest daily maximum near 26–27 °C amid the ongoing Meiyu (plum-rain) season, when persistent cloud cover and scattered showers sharply reduce solar insolation and cap afternoon heating. High humidity and light southerly flow further suppress temperature rise, while any breaks in overcast skies or delayed rainfall timing could allow brief warming toward 28 °C. The near-even split between the 26 °C and 27 °C contracts reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of precipitation and boundary-layer mixing. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,838Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus for Shanghai on June 16 points to a modest daily maximum near 26–27 °C amid the ongoing Meiyu (plum-rain) season, when persistent cloud cover and scattered showers sharply reduce solar insolation and cap afternoon heating. High humidity and light southerly flow further suppress temperature rise, while any breaks in overcast skies or delayed rainfall timing could allow brief warming toward 28 °C. The near-even split between the 26 °C and 27 °C contracts reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of precipitation and boundary-layer mixing. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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