Cape Town's winter climatology, with typical June daily highs near 18°C driven by the region's Mediterranean climate and prevailing westerly flow, underpins the market's clustering around 18–20°C outcomes. Recent model guidance from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts shows stable conditions for June 18, with expected maxima of 18°C under mostly sunny skies and light winds, following earlier cold fronts and cut-off lows that suppressed temperatures earlier in the month. Minor upward revisions in ensemble runs reflecting warmer advection have supported the 19°C lead at 41.5% implied probability, while uncertainty in exact timing of any residual frontal influence keeps 18°C and 20°C viable near-term alternatives. Updated South African Weather Service short-range guidance expected within 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Cape Town on June 18?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 18?
19°C 41%
20°C 22%
18°C 20%
16°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 juin 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
8%
17°C
7%
18°C
20%
19°C
41%
20°C
22%
21°C
7%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 41%
20°C 22%
18°C 20%
16°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 juin 2026
13°C or below
$291 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$291 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$347 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$576 Vol.
8%
17°C
$358 Vol.
7%
18°C
$561 Vol.
20%
19°C
$477 Vol.
41%
20°C
$414 Vol.
22%
21°C
$740 Vol.
7%
22°C
$873 Vol.
1%
23°C or higher
$301 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cape Town's winter climatology, with typical June daily highs near 18°C driven by the region's Mediterranean climate and prevailing westerly flow, underpins the market's clustering around 18–20°C outcomes. Recent model guidance from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts shows stable conditions for June 18, with expected maxima of 18°C under mostly sunny skies and light winds, following earlier cold fronts and cut-off lows that suppressed temperatures earlier in the month. Minor upward revisions in ensemble runs reflecting warmer advection have supported the 19°C lead at 41.5% implied probability, while uncertainty in exact timing of any residual frontal influence keeps 18°C and 20°C viable near-term alternatives. Updated South African Weather Service short-range guidance expected within 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 16, 2026, 1:13 AM ET
Volume
$5,049Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 1:13 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cape Town's winter climatology, with typical June daily highs near 18°C driven by the region's Mediterranean climate and prevailing westerly flow, underpins the market's clustering around 18–20°C outcomes. Recent model guidance from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts shows stable conditions for June 18, with expected maxima of 18°C under mostly sunny skies and light winds, following earlier cold fronts and cut-off lows that suppressed temperatures earlier in the month. Minor upward revisions in ensemble runs reflecting warmer advection have supported the 19°C lead at 41.5% implied probability, while uncertainty in exact timing of any residual frontal influence keeps 18°C and 20°C viable near-term alternatives. Updated South African Weather Service short-range guidance expected within 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,049Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 1:13 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cape Town's winter climatology, with typical June daily highs near 18°C driven by the region's Mediterranean climate and prevailing westerly flow, underpins the market's clustering around 18–20°C outcomes. Recent model guidance from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts shows stable conditions for June 18, with expected maxima of 18°C under mostly sunny skies and light winds, following earlier cold fronts and cut-off lows that suppressed temperatures earlier in the month. Minor upward revisions in ensemble runs reflecting warmer advection have supported the 19°C lead at 41.5% implied probability, while uncertainty in exact timing of any residual frontal influence keeps 18°C and 20°C viable near-term alternatives. Updated South African Weather Service short-range guidance expected within 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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