Recent high-resolution model runs from ECMWF and Météo-France highlight a strengthening upper-level ridge and southerly flow advecting warmer air masses toward northern France, positioning Paris for peak daytime temperatures near 35–36°C on June 18. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, afternoon cloud cover, and exact timing of the thermal maximum create the narrow spread between the leading market outcomes, with ensemble members showing modest variance around the 35°C threshold. Historical mid-June climatology places average highs near 23°C, underscoring the anomalous warmth driven by the persistent anticyclone, though small forecast adjustments from the next model cycle could shift probabilities among the closely matched 35°C and 36°C contracts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Paris on June 18?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 18?
36°C 39%
35°C 33%
34°C 15%
37°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 juin 2026
32°C or below
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
15%
35°C
33%
36°C
39%
37°C
10%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 39%
35°C 33%
34°C 15%
37°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 juin 2026
32°C or below
$941 Vol.
1%
33°C
$371 Vol.
4%
34°C
$360 Vol.
15%
35°C
$720 Vol.
33%
36°C
$445 Vol.
39%
37°C
$1,130 Vol.
10%
38°C
$1,233 Vol.
1%
39°C
$237 Vol.
1%
40°C
$426 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$148 Vol.
<1%
42°C or higher
$251 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-resolution model runs from ECMWF and Météo-France highlight a strengthening upper-level ridge and southerly flow advecting warmer air masses toward northern France, positioning Paris for peak daytime temperatures near 35–36°C on June 18. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, afternoon cloud cover, and exact timing of the thermal maximum create the narrow spread between the leading market outcomes, with ensemble members showing modest variance around the 35°C threshold. Historical mid-June climatology places average highs near 23°C, underscoring the anomalous warmth driven by the persistent anticyclone, though small forecast adjustments from the next model cycle could shift probabilities among the closely matched 35°C and 36°C contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 16, 2026, 1:18 AM ET
Volume
$6,258Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 1:18 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-resolution model runs from ECMWF and Météo-France highlight a strengthening upper-level ridge and southerly flow advecting warmer air masses toward northern France, positioning Paris for peak daytime temperatures near 35–36°C on June 18. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, afternoon cloud cover, and exact timing of the thermal maximum create the narrow spread between the leading market outcomes, with ensemble members showing modest variance around the 35°C threshold. Historical mid-June climatology places average highs near 23°C, underscoring the anomalous warmth driven by the persistent anticyclone, though small forecast adjustments from the next model cycle could shift probabilities among the closely matched 35°C and 36°C contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,258Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 1:18 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-resolution model runs from ECMWF and Météo-France highlight a strengthening upper-level ridge and southerly flow advecting warmer air masses toward northern France, positioning Paris for peak daytime temperatures near 35–36°C on June 18. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, afternoon cloud cover, and exact timing of the thermal maximum create the narrow spread between the leading market outcomes, with ensemble members showing modest variance around the 35°C threshold. Historical mid-June climatology places average highs near 23°C, underscoring the anomalous warmth driven by the persistent anticyclone, though small forecast adjustments from the next model cycle could shift probabilities among the closely matched 35°C and 36°C contracts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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