Recent forecast model runs highlight variable cloud cover and light showers as the main driver keeping Moscow's expected June 16 maximum near 17–19°C, aligning with the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Continental summer patterns typically deliver 20–22°C highs under clearer skies, but current steering flows and moisture from a passing frontal system are projected to reduce solar heating and cap afternoon peaks. Minor shifts in precipitation timing or wind speed could easily differentiate between 17°C, 18°C, and 19°C resolution, while stronger clearing would push toward 20°C or above. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Moscow on June 16?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 16?
18°C 28%
19°C 25%
17°C 22%
20°C 11.2%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
6%
17°C
22%
18°C
28%
19°C
25%
20°C
11%
21°C
7%
22°C or higher
2%
18°C 28%
19°C 25%
17°C 22%
20°C 11.2%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
12°C or below
$15 Vol.
1%
13°C
$110 Vol.
1%
14°C
$60 Vol.
2%
15°C
$11 Vol.
3%
16°C
$51 Vol.
6%
17°C
$0 Vol.
22%
18°C
$0 Vol.
28%
19°C
$16 Vol.
25%
20°C
$0 Vol.
11%
21°C
$93 Vol.
7%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs highlight variable cloud cover and light showers as the main driver keeping Moscow's expected June 16 maximum near 17–19°C, aligning with the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Continental summer patterns typically deliver 20–22°C highs under clearer skies, but current steering flows and moisture from a passing frontal system are projected to reduce solar heating and cap afternoon peaks. Minor shifts in precipitation timing or wind speed could easily differentiate between 17°C, 18°C, and 19°C resolution, while stronger clearing would push toward 20°C or above. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$329Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs highlight variable cloud cover and light showers as the main driver keeping Moscow's expected June 16 maximum near 17–19°C, aligning with the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Continental summer patterns typically deliver 20–22°C highs under clearer skies, but current steering flows and moisture from a passing frontal system are projected to reduce solar heating and cap afternoon peaks. Minor shifts in precipitation timing or wind speed could easily differentiate between 17°C, 18°C, and 19°C resolution, while stronger clearing would push toward 20°C or above. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$329Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs highlight variable cloud cover and light showers as the main driver keeping Moscow's expected June 16 maximum near 17–19°C, aligning with the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Continental summer patterns typically deliver 20–22°C highs under clearer skies, but current steering flows and moisture from a passing frontal system are projected to reduce solar heating and cap afternoon peaks. Minor shifts in precipitation timing or wind speed could easily differentiate between 17°C, 18°C, and 19°C resolution, while stronger clearing would push toward 20°C or above. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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