Recent model consensus from sources like timeanddate and yr.no points to a Moscow high near 21–22°C on June 15, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and isolated showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted boundary-layer moisture and timing of any convective activity, which can trim or boost peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical June averages hover near 21–22°C, placing current guidance close to climatology, while the tight clustering of market probabilities around 20–23°C reflects this modest forecast uncertainty and the absence of strong blocking patterns that would produce larger deviations. Updated model runs and observational data through the evening of June 14 will likely refine the final distribution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Moscow on June 15?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 15?
21°C 24%
22°C 24%
20°C 19%
23°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 juin 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
8%
20°C
19%
21°C
24%
22°C
24%
23°C
15%
24°C
6%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
1%
21°C 24%
22°C 24%
20°C 19%
23°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 juin 2026
16°C or below
$303 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$491 Vol.
1%
18°C
$338 Vol.
2%
19°C
$313 Vol.
8%
20°C
$105 Vol.
19%
21°C
$118 Vol.
24%
22°C
$141 Vol.
24%
23°C
$140 Vol.
15%
24°C
$491 Vol.
6%
25°C
$1,307 Vol.
4%
26°C or higher
$529 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like timeanddate and yr.no points to a Moscow high near 21–22°C on June 15, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and isolated showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted boundary-layer moisture and timing of any convective activity, which can trim or boost peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical June averages hover near 21–22°C, placing current guidance close to climatology, while the tight clustering of market probabilities around 20–23°C reflects this modest forecast uncertainty and the absence of strong blocking patterns that would produce larger deviations. Updated model runs and observational data through the evening of June 14 will likely refine the final distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volume
$4,079Date de fin
15 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like timeanddate and yr.no points to a Moscow high near 21–22°C on June 15, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and isolated showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted boundary-layer moisture and timing of any convective activity, which can trim or boost peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical June averages hover near 21–22°C, placing current guidance close to climatology, while the tight clustering of market probabilities around 20–23°C reflects this modest forecast uncertainty and the absence of strong blocking patterns that would produce larger deviations. Updated model runs and observational data through the evening of June 14 will likely refine the final distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,079Date de fin
15 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like timeanddate and yr.no points to a Moscow high near 21–22°C on June 15, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and isolated showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted boundary-layer moisture and timing of any convective activity, which can trim or boost peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical June averages hover near 21–22°C, placing current guidance close to climatology, while the tight clustering of market probabilities around 20–23°C reflects this modest forecast uncertainty and the absence of strong blocking patterns that would produce larger deviations. Updated model runs and observational data through the evening of June 14 will likely refine the final distribution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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