Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs place Warsaw's June 18 maximum near 23–25°C under a moderate westerly flow with limited warm-air advection and possible late-day showers that cap afternoon peaks. This distribution aligns with climatological June averages of 22–24°C while reflecting modest model spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing that separates the 24°C and 25°C outcomes. Traders weight the latest 00Z/12Z cycles most heavily because small shifts in 2-meter temperature guidance or frontal passage can reprice the tightly bunched 39.5 %–31.5 % tier within hours of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 18?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 18?
24°C 40%
25°C 32%
23°C 22%
26°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 juin 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
22%
24°C
40%
25°C
32%
26°C
6%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 40%
25°C 32%
23°C 22%
26°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 juin 2026
19°C or below
$218 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$168 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$216 Vol.
1%
22°C
$151 Vol.
2%
23°C
$275 Vol.
22%
24°C
$191 Vol.
40%
25°C
$281 Vol.
32%
26°C
$160 Vol.
6%
27°C
$272 Vol.
3%
28°C
$578 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$718 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs place Warsaw's June 18 maximum near 23–25°C under a moderate westerly flow with limited warm-air advection and possible late-day showers that cap afternoon peaks. This distribution aligns with climatological June averages of 22–24°C while reflecting modest model spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing that separates the 24°C and 25°C outcomes. Traders weight the latest 00Z/12Z cycles most heavily because small shifts in 2-meter temperature guidance or frontal passage can reprice the tightly bunched 39.5 %–31.5 % tier within hours of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ET
Volume
$3,227Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs place Warsaw's June 18 maximum near 23–25°C under a moderate westerly flow with limited warm-air advection and possible late-day showers that cap afternoon peaks. This distribution aligns with climatological June averages of 22–24°C while reflecting modest model spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing that separates the 24°C and 25°C outcomes. Traders weight the latest 00Z/12Z cycles most heavily because small shifts in 2-meter temperature guidance or frontal passage can reprice the tightly bunched 39.5 %–31.5 % tier within hours of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,227Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs place Warsaw's June 18 maximum near 23–25°C under a moderate westerly flow with limited warm-air advection and possible late-day showers that cap afternoon peaks. This distribution aligns with climatological June averages of 22–24°C while reflecting modest model spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing that separates the 24°C and 25°C outcomes. Traders weight the latest 00Z/12Z cycles most heavily because small shifts in 2-meter temperature guidance or frontal passage can reprice the tightly bunched 39.5 %–31.5 % tier within hours of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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