Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a sharp cooldown for Seattle on June 16 following a mid-June heat wave, with highs near 72°F driven by shifting onshore flow and reduced subsidence. This positions the 72–73°F and 74–75°F bins as the most probable outcomes, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds near 28% for 74–75°F and 27.5% for 76–77°F. Historical climatology shows typical mid-June highs around 70–74°F, but persistent above-normal temperatures this season and model spread on exact timing of the marine layer intrusion create the narrow gap between the top two bins. Traders appear to weigh ensemble guidance favoring modest recovery above 72°F against the risk of further cooling if clouds or stronger westerlies develop overnight. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs expected in the next 12–24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Seattle le 16 juin ?
La température la plus élevée à Seattle le 16 juin ?
74-75°F 29%
76-77°F 28%
78-79°F 14.0%
72-73°F 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
69°F or below
3%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 29%
76-77°F 28%
78-79°F 14.0%
72-73°F 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
69°F or below
$75 Vol.
3%
70-71°F
$17 Vol.
8%
72-73°F
$42 Vol.
14%
74-75°F
$105 Vol.
29%
76-77°F
$416 Vol.
28%
78-79°F
$453 Vol.
14%
80-81°F
$112 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$143 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$35 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$441 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$1,500 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a sharp cooldown for Seattle on June 16 following a mid-June heat wave, with highs near 72°F driven by shifting onshore flow and reduced subsidence. This positions the 72–73°F and 74–75°F bins as the most probable outcomes, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds near 28% for 74–75°F and 27.5% for 76–77°F. Historical climatology shows typical mid-June highs around 70–74°F, but persistent above-normal temperatures this season and model spread on exact timing of the marine layer intrusion create the narrow gap between the top two bins. Traders appear to weigh ensemble guidance favoring modest recovery above 72°F against the risk of further cooling if clouds or stronger westerlies develop overnight. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs expected in the next 12–24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$3,174Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a sharp cooldown for Seattle on June 16 following a mid-June heat wave, with highs near 72°F driven by shifting onshore flow and reduced subsidence. This positions the 72–73°F and 74–75°F bins as the most probable outcomes, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds near 28% for 74–75°F and 27.5% for 76–77°F. Historical climatology shows typical mid-June highs around 70–74°F, but persistent above-normal temperatures this season and model spread on exact timing of the marine layer intrusion create the narrow gap between the top two bins. Traders appear to weigh ensemble guidance favoring modest recovery above 72°F against the risk of further cooling if clouds or stronger westerlies develop overnight. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs expected in the next 12–24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,174Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a sharp cooldown for Seattle on June 16 following a mid-June heat wave, with highs near 72°F driven by shifting onshore flow and reduced subsidence. This positions the 72–73°F and 74–75°F bins as the most probable outcomes, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds near 28% for 74–75°F and 27.5% for 76–77°F. Historical climatology shows typical mid-June highs around 70–74°F, but persistent above-normal temperatures this season and model spread on exact timing of the marine layer intrusion create the narrow gap between the top two bins. Traders appear to weigh ensemble guidance favoring modest recovery above 72°F against the risk of further cooling if clouds or stronger westerlies develop overnight. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs expected in the next 12–24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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